Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 86% of the time.
82%
9%
OTT winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 23:21 | 0.03 | 12.4% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.23 | 36.7% | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.12 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.01 | 41.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.73 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.21 | 23.9% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.07 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.11 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 16:26 | 0.34 | 25.7% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 36.7% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.07 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 18.9% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:13 | 0.12 | 67.0% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 34 | 6 | .850 | 4.81 | −1.2 | 58:53 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 27:17 | 0.18 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.10 | 68.9% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.21 | 66.0% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.27 | 91.2% | +53.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.08 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 19:25 | 1.63 | 83.7% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.37 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.32 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.15 | 86.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 16:22 | 1.07 | 82.3% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.10 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 54.3% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.09 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.21 | 51.9% | +42.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.01 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.02 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.01 | 54.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.00 | 45.9% | +16.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.15 | −1.9 | 59:25 |