Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Calgary Flames 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
49%
CGY winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.08 | 61.2% | +1.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.33 | 81.8% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.08 | 50.8% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.37 | 51.5% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 18:59 | 0.65 | 74.3% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.12 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.38 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.32 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.46 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.06 | 64.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.05 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.06 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.45 | 55.3% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.01 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.07 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.08 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.05 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.39 | −2.6 | 58:41 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.01 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.01 | 44.9% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:38 | 0.04 | 33.5% | +12.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:24 | 0.69 | 42.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.13 | 50.4% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.14 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.31 | 29.5% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.17 | 46.4% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.85 | 32.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.10 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.06 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.25 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.25 | 40.9% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.12 | 39.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.05 | 39.4% | +13.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.62 | +0.6 | 60:00 |