Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Florida Panthers 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
10%
52%
CAR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:01 | 0.22 | 88.3% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.05 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.01 | 57.7% | +50.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.49 | 65.5% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.05 | 78.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.26 | 65.0% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.32 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.17 | 69.0% | +38.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:24 | 0.58 | 63.6% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.07 | 66.6% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.07 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.24 | 75.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 8:39 | 0.18 | 88.9% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:21 | 0.15 | 59.4% | +34.3 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.32 | +0.3 | 59:32 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:34 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.05 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.60 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.09 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.07 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.12 | 33.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.22 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.18 | 47.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.20 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.06 | 43.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 58.8% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:52 | 0.52 | 52.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.09 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 2.94 | −2.1 | 60:00 |