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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Zetterlund: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  3. P1 0:16Shot by Sanderson, saved by Woll5v4
  4. P1 0:40Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Maccelli)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Maccelli · OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  5. P1 1:51Shot by McMann, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  7. P1 6:12Shot by McMann, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 7:21Shot by Bourgault, saved by Woll
  9. P1 7:50Myers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Maccelli · OTT Perron, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Spence

  10. P1 8:26Shot by Perron, saved by Woll4v5
  11. P1 12:49Shot by Amadio, saved by Woll
  12. P1 13:07Tkachuk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Maccelli · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  13. P1 13:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll5v4
  14. P1 14:42Goal by Knies (Domi, Robertson)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Roy, Robertson, Knies · OTT Amadio, Chabot, Greig, Matinpalo

  15. P1 17:31Shot by Chabot, saved by Woll
  16. P1 17:47Shot by Cousins, saved by Woll
  17. P1 17:50Goal by Cousins (Spence, Halliday)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Roy, Stecher, Knies · OTT Cousins, Chabot, Spence, Bourgault, Halliday

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:18Goal by Greig (Giroux)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Maccelli · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  21. P2 1:37Shot by Bourgault, saved by Woll
  22. P2 2:00Shot by Knies, saved by Ullmark
  23. P2 2:41Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
  24. P2 3:00Shot by Stecher, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 3:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 3:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 3:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 3:28Goal by McMann (Matthews, Domi)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  29. P2 4:01Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Woll
  30. P2 5:55Shot by Knies, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 7:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 7:25Shot by Domi, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 7:28Goal by Matthews (Domi, McCabe)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann · OTT Amadio, Chabot, Zetterlund, Spence, Stützle

  34. P2 8:32Goal by Robertson (Knies, Roy)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Roy, Stecher, Robertson, Knies · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Sanderson, Bourgault, Halliday

  35. P2 9:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Meriläinen
  36. P2 11:52Shot by Knies, saved by Meriläinen
  37. P2 11:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Meriläinen
  38. P2 12:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Meriläinen
  39. P2 12:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Meriläinen
  40. P2 13:30Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Meriläinen
  41. P2 14:17Shot by Chabot, saved by Woll
  42. P2 14:36Shot by Spence, saved by Woll
  43. P2 15:31Shot by Myers, saved by Meriläinen
  44. P2 17:06Shot by Bourgault, saved by Woll
  45. P2 17:30Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen
  46. P2 17:31Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen
  47. P2 18:21Shot by Sanderson, saved by Woll
  48. P2 19:52Shot by Spence, saved by Woll
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:14Goal by Batherson (Cozens, Tkachuk)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Stecher, Maccelli, Knies · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  52. P3 1:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  53. P3 1:47Batherson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Joshua, Roy, Robertson · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  54. P3 1:47Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Joshua, Roy, Robertson · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  55. P3 2:37Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll4v4
  56. P3 2:49Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll4v4
  57. P3 5:07Goal by Stützle (Zetterlund)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · OTT Perron, Chabot, Zetterlund, Sanderson, Stützle

  58. P3 5:53Goal by Knies (Maccelli, Rielly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Maccelli, Knies · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Amadio, Batherson, Matinpalo

  59. P3 6:11Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
  60. P3 6:44Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll
  61. P3 9:18Goal by Spence (Giroux, Halliday)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Myers, Maccelli · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Chabot, Spence, Halliday

  62. P3 10:43Shot by Laughton, saved by Meriläinen
  63. P3 11:20Shot by Chabot, saved by Woll
  64. P3 11:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Meriläinen
  65. P3 11:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Meriläinen
  66. P3 12:46Sanderson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Joshua, Lorentz, Stecher · OTT Perron, Zetterlund, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  67. P3 13:11Shot by Knies, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  68. P3 13:46Shot by Greig, saved by Woll5v4
  69. P3 14:30Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  70. P3 14:43Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  71. P3 15:25Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
  72. P3 16:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Meriläinen
  73. P3 17:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll
  74. P3 18:44Goal by Tavares, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Matthews, McMann · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  75. P3 19:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  77. P3 0:00Final5v6