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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Amadio–GreigPerron–Batherson–CozensZetterlund–Tkachuk–StützleCousins–Bourgault–HallidayBatherson–Tkachuk–CozensPerron–Zetterlund–StützleCousins–Stützle–BourgaultGiroux–Amadio–HallidayChabot–SpenceSanderson–ZubJensen–MatinpaloSpence–SandersonChabot–ZubJensen–Sanderson
Domi–Matthews–McMann2:361.30–0.000:340.00–0.002:300.00–0.031:270.00–0.144:500.35–0.044:081.22–0.021:110.06–0.00
Laughton–Joshua–Lorentz2:540.00–0.001:530.00–0.101:180.00–0.051:150.00–0.070:560.01–0.082:180.00–0.261:490.00–0.073:550.01–0.050:520.00–0.030:370.00–0.02
Roy–Robertson–Knies0:380.12–0.000:540.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:090.17–0.091:100.00–0.231:280.12–0.231:070.00–0.003:240.05–0.26
Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli1:340.00–0.892:050.05–0.110:320.00–0.002:420.05–0.112:300.00–0.89
Tavares–Maccelli–Knies1:400.01–0.150:540.00–0.091:270.01–0.152:170.00–0.11
Tavares–Maccelli–McMann0:400.00–0.110:360.00–0.00
Tanev–McCabe1:200.00–0.000:490.00–0.104:300.07–0.111:450.05–0.103:060.00–0.310:380.00–0.084:180.22–0.523:240.00–0.125:100.18–0.050:540.00–0.03
Ekman-Larsson–Stecher2:151.04–0.004:250.05–0.181:060.00–0.131:100.13–0.230:320.00–0.095:030.24–0.514:260.85–0.101:170.00–0.000:390.13–0.02
Rielly–Myers5:010.37–0.891:500.03–0.010:440.00–0.013:030.01–0.043:510.40–0.903:010.01–0.00
Rielly–Stecher0:410.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:560.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:300.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDomi FMatthews FMcMann FMaccelli FNylander FTavares FKnies FRoy FRobertson FLorentz FLaughton FJoshua FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DMyers DStecher DEkman-Larsson DWoll GTkachuk FStützle FZetterlund FGiroux FAmadio FGreig FBatherson FCozens FPerron FCousins FBourgault FHalliday FZub DSanderson DSpence DChabot DJensen DMatinpalo DUllmark GMeriläinen G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT3123:420:461:2342
Jake SandersonOTT3223:200:441:3634
Morgan RiellyTOR3222:270:421:1661
Jake McCabeTOR3322:140:401:3213
Tim StützleOTT2622:120:513:0240
Chris TanevTOR3221:270:401:5303
Jordan SpenceOTT2720:550:461:4330
Artem ZubOTT2920:010:411:3115
Troy StecherTOR3119:470:381:3302
Auston MatthewsTOR2619:080:441:1062
Drake BathersonOTT2518:370:452:3741
Dylan CozensOTT2418:200:461:4052
Claude GirouxOTT3018:090:361:1127
Bobby McMannTOR2517:250:421:2432
Max DomiTOR2517:210:421:1632
Michael AmadioOTT2517:030:411:0614
Brady TkachukOTT2917:000:351:3650
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2716:450:371:3012
Scott LaughtonTOR2416:440:421:2103
Matthew KniesTOR2116:380:481:2531
John TavaresTOR2216:380:451:2544
Matias MaccelliTOR2015:540:481:2143
Steven LorentzTOR2115:400:451:1902
Fabian ZetterlundOTT2615:260:361:0050
Ridly GreigOTT2314:340:381:0215
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2414:310:361:0401
Nick JensenOTT2514:300:351:1001
Philippe MyersTOR2013:320:411:3532
David PerronOTT2113:170:381:1351
Dakota JoshuaTOR2013:090:391:1601
Nicolas RoyTOR1912:540:411:1110
Nick RobertsonTOR169:520:371:0610
Stephen HallidayOTT158:430:351:0210
Nick CousinsOTT138:310:390:5210
William NylanderTOR118:250:461:1921
Xavier BourgaultOTT106:430:401:0500