Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
40%
8%
8%
43%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Amadio–Greig | Perron–Batherson–Cozens | Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle | Cousins–Bourgault–Halliday | Batherson–Tkachuk–Cozens | Perron–Zetterlund–Stützle | Cousins–Stützle–Bourgault | Giroux–Amadio–Halliday | Chabot–Spence | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Matinpalo | Spence–Sanderson | Chabot–Zub | Jensen–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | 2:361.30–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.03 | 1:270.00–0.14 | 4:500.35–0.04 | 4:081.22–0.02 | 1:110.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Laughton–Joshua–Lorentz | 2:540.00–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.10 | 1:180.00–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.07 | 0:560.01–0.08 | 2:180.00–0.26 | 1:490.00–0.07 | 3:550.01–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||
| Roy–Robertson–Knies | 0:380.12–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:090.17–0.09 | 1:100.00–0.23 | 1:280.12–0.23 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 3:240.05–0.26 | ||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | 1:340.00–0.89 | 2:050.05–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:420.05–0.11 | 2:300.00–0.89 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | 1:400.01–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 1:270.01–0.15 | 2:170.00–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Maccelli–McMann | 0:400.00–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.10 | 4:300.07–0.11 | 1:450.05–0.10 | 3:060.00–0.31 | 0:380.00–0.08 | 4:180.22–0.52 | 3:240.00–0.12 | 5:100.18–0.05 | 0:540.00–0.03 | ||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | 2:151.04–0.00 | 4:250.05–0.18 | 1:060.00–0.13 | 1:100.13–0.23 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 5:030.24–0.51 | 4:260.85–0.10 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:390.13–0.02 | |||||
| Rielly–Myers | 5:010.37–0.89 | 1:500.03–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 3:030.01–0.04 | 3:510.40–0.90 | 3:010.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Stecher | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:300.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 31 | 23:42 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 | |
| 32 | 23:20 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 3 | 4 | |
| 32 | 22:27 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 6 | 1 | |
| 33 | 22:14 | 0:40 | 1:32 | 1 | 3 | |
| 26 | 22:12 | 0:51 | 3:02 | 4 | 0 | |
| 32 | 21:27 | 0:40 | 1:53 | 0 | 3 | |
| 27 | 20:55 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 3 | 0 | |
| 29 | 20:01 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 1 | 5 | |
| 31 | 19:47 | 0:38 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 | |
| 26 | 19:08 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 18:37 | 0:45 | 2:37 | 4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 5 | 2 | |
| 30 | 18:09 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 2 | 7 | |
| 25 | 17:25 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17:21 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 3 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17:03 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 | |
| 29 | 17:00 | 0:35 | 1:36 | 5 | 0 | |
| 27 | 16:45 | 0:37 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 | |
| 24 | 16:44 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 | |
| 21 | 16:38 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 | |
| 22 | 16:38 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 | |
| 20 | 15:54 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 | |
| 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 | |
| 26 | 15:26 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 5 | 0 | |
| 23 | 14:34 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 1 | 5 | |
| 24 | 14:31 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 0 | 1 | |
| 25 | 14:30 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 13:17 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 | |
| 20 | 13:09 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 12:54 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 9:52 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 8:43 | 0:35 | 1:02 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 8:31 | 0:39 | 0:52 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 8:25 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 | |
| 10 | 6:43 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |