Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
40%
8%
8%
43%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.04 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:20 | 0.05 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.36 | 69.6% | +12.8 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.25 | 68.9% | +24.7 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.06 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.31 | 72.9% | +5.3 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.46 | 77.6% | +5.3 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.12 | 41.2% | +31.8 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.41 | 92.5% | +5.3 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.15 | 64.9% | +12.8 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.94 | 38.6% | +20.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.02 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.21 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Stephen HallidayC · #83 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 66.1% | +24.7 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.30 | 74.0% | +12.9 |
 Xavier BourgaultRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:43 | 0.36 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
 Leevi Meriläinen#1 | L | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.32 | −0.7 | 30:55 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | – | 14 | 10 | 4 | .714 | 1.61 | −2.4 | 27:28 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.05 | 33.2% | +13.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 43.2% | +13.8 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.05 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 19:08 | 1.72 | 84.8% | +44.8 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:25 | 0.31 | 86.2% | +21.6 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.02 | 78.0% | +47.9 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:38 | 0.52 | 33.8% | +32.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.45 | 14.7% | +4.8 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 16.7% | +22.4 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 3.0% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.01 | 28.9% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.35 | 2.7% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 30.8% | +7.1 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 9:52 | 0.34 | 34.7% | +19.7 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 8:25 | 0.14 | 6.8% | +9.4 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 4.05 | −0.9 | 60:00 |