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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Florida Panthers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.

FLA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Moser, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 1:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Goncalves, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 3:23Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 3:25Bennett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  7. P1 3:25Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  8. P1 3:25Bennett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  9. P1 3:25Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  10. P1 3:25Girgensons: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  11. P1 5:33Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 5:35Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 5:37Goal by Luostarinen (Samoskevich, Rodrigues)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Petry, Ekblad, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Samoskevich · TBL Girgensons, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Moser

  14. P1 6:45Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v6
  15. P1 6:48Greer: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Forsling, Greer, Mikkola, Boqvist, Lundell · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Crozier, Goncalves, Carlile

  16. P1 7:24Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  17. P1 9:45Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 10:03Shot by Studnicka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 12:06Shot by D'Astous, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 12:49Santini: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Guentzel, Paul, Santini, Carlile

  21. P1 13:05Goal by Guentzel (Cirelli, Crozier)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett · TBL Guentzel, Cirelli, Crozier, Moser

  22. P1 14:13Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  23. P1 14:15Ekblad: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Lundell, Samoskevich · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Carlile

  24. P1 17:06Shot by Crozier, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P1 19:26Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P1 19:52Goal by Holmberg (Gourde, Carlile)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Santini, D'Astous, Holmberg

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:17Shot by Jones, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 2:15Shot by Jones, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 2:31Goal by Kucherov (Point, Goncalves)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Jones, Bennett, Mikkola · TBL Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Goncalves, Carlile

  32. P2 2:54Shot by Kunin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 3:48Samoskevich: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Santini, Cirelli, Moser

  34. P2 6:54Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 6:59Douglas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Greer, Kunin, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Sabourin, D'Astous, Douglas, Crozier

  36. P2 6:59Douglas: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Greer, Kunin, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Sabourin, D'Astous, Douglas, Crozier

  37. P2 6:59Kunin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Greer, Kunin, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Sabourin, D'Astous, Douglas, Crozier

  38. P2 7:05Goal by Marchand (Bennett, Reinhart)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich · TBL Guentzel, Cirelli, Crozier, Moser

  39. P2 8:09Shot by Marchand, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 10:14Ekblad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Greer, Rodrigues · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Raddysh, Moser

  41. P2 11:28Shot by Guentzel, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  42. P2 11:54Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  43. P2 14:10Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 16:05Shot by Studnicka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 17:17Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:19Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 17:37Shot by Gourde, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P2 18:30Jones: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  49. P2 18:30Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  50. P2 18:30Rodrigues: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  51. P2 18:30Crozier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  52. P2 18:30Bjorkstrand: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  53. P2 18:30Bjorkstrand: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  54. P2 18:30Greer: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  55. P2 18:30Greer: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  56. P2 18:30D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  57. P2 18:30D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  58. P2 18:30Verhaeghe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  59. P2 18:30Verhaeghe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  60. P2 18:30Guentzel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Jones, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  61. P2 18:50Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  62. P2 18:55Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  63. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:35Shot by Girgensons, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 0:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 1:06Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 1:08Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 1:34Sabourin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Forsling, Mikkola, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Lundell · TBL Sabourin, Point, Raddysh, Douglas, Carlile

  70. P3 1:34Sabourin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Forsling, Mikkola, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Lundell · TBL Sabourin, Point, Raddysh, Douglas, Carlile

  71. P3 1:34Sabourin: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Forsling, Mikkola, Boqvist, Luostarinen, Lundell · TBL Sabourin, Point, Raddysh, Douglas, Carlile

  72. P3 1:52Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  73. P3 2:47Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  74. P3 5:24Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  75. P3 5:34Crozier: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jones, Mikkola, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka · TBL Paul, Cirelli, Crozier, Moser

  76. P3 7:29Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  77. P3 8:50Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
  78. P3 9:30Bennett: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Bennett, Mikkola, Samoskevich, Balinskis · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, D'Astous, Crozier

  79. P3 10:46Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  80. P3 10:47Shot by Marchand, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  81. P3 10:53Bjorkstrand: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen · TBL Kucherov, Bjorkstrand, Paul, Point, D'Astous

  82. P3 12:14Bennett: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Crozier, Moser

  83. P3 14:37Shot by Balinskis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  84. P3 14:39Bennett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  85. P3 14:39Balinskis: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  86. P3 14:39D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  87. P3 14:39D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  88. P3 14:39Gourde: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  89. P3 14:39Marchand: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  90. P3 14:39Crozier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Petry, Bennett, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Crozier

  91. P3 16:08Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  92. P3 16:13Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  93. P3 18:12Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  94. P3 19:04Goal by Kucherov (Cirelli)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Marchand, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell, Samoskevich · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Moser

  95. P3 19:25Shot by Petry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  96. P3 19:27Sabourin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, Douglas, Moser

  97. P3 19:27Kunin: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, Douglas, Moser

  98. P3 19:27Douglas: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, Douglas, Moser

  99. P3 19:27Sabourin: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, Douglas, Moser

  100. P3 19:27Moser: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Balinskis · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, Douglas, Moser

  101. P3 19:34Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  102. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  103. P3 0:00Final6v4