Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Florida Panthers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
42%
8%
9%
42%
FLA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 27:14 | 0.52 | 39.0% | +16.6 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25:07 | 0.32 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.02 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.06 | 70.2% | +16.6 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.00 | 47.8% | +16.6 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:29 | 1.51 | 78.5% | +20.6 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.31 | 87.0% | +15.1 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.03 | 24.5% | +22.2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.08 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.04 | 87.3% | +16.6 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.10 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.38 | 83.6% | +16.6 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.15 | 80.3% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.04 | 55.3% | +15.1 |
 Steven SantiniD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.00 | 1.5% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 3.58 | +1.6 | 59:46 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Seth JonesD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 25:53 | 0.03 | 20.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:43 | 0.56 | 24.5% | +13.9 |
 Brad MarchandLW · #63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.66 | 11.5% | +13.9 |
 Aaron EkbladD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.02 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.73 | 88.3% | +14.1 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.03 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Sam BennettC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.18 | 11.6% | +13.9 |
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.15 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Mackie SamoskevichRW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.54 | 57.6% | +14.1 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.22 | 78.3% | +14.1 |
 Niko MikkolaD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.16 | 10.9% | 0.0 |
 Jeff PetryD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.08 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 A.J. GreerLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.09 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 Uvis BalinskisD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.02 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Jesper BoqvistC · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke KuninC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:39 | 0.02 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Jack StudnickaC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:42 | 0.12 | 76.6% | 0.0 |
 Sergei Bobrovsky#72 | L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 58:50 |