Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Florida Panthers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
42%
8%
9%
42%
FLA winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Cirelli | Sabourin–Paul–Douglas | Sabourin–Guentzel–Paul | Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | Gourde–Cirelli–Holmberg | D'Astous–Crozier | Raddysh–Moser | Santini–Carlile | Crozier–Carlile | Crozier–Moser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart–Luostarinen–Lundell | 1:160.05–0.04 | 1:100.00–0.06 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 1:440.05–0.00 | 2:240.10–0.11 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||
| Marchand–Verhaeghe–Bennett | 1:280.00–0.35 | 0:500.04–0.15 | 1:240.04–0.00 | 2:180.01–0.25 | 1:030.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Verhaeghe–Greer–Rodrigues | 1:370.00–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Kunin–Boqvist–Studnicka | 1:570.09–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:210.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Greer–Rodrigues–Samoskevich | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Marchand–Bennett–Samoskevich | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Verhaeghe–Rodrigues–Boqvist | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ekblad–Forsling | 1:350.04–0.02 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 3:180.03–0.02 | 1:570.04–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | |||||
| Petry–Balinskis | 3:220.01–0.17 | 2:120.09–0.00 | 2:150.07–0.00 | 1:530.08–0.07 | 2:440.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Jones–Mikkola | 0:380.05–0.04 | 1:020.04–0.21 | 2:040.04–0.15 | 1:440.01–0.05 | 2:210.13–0.11 | 1:090.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Forsling–Mikkola | 0:580.00–0.06 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:320.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Petry–Ekblad | 0:520.45–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jones–Forsling | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
FLATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 27 | 27:14 | 1:01 | 2:52 | 1 | 4 |
 Seth JonesFLA | 28 | 25:53 | 0:55 | 2:19 | 6 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 29 | 25:07 | 0:52 | 2:23 | 4 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 29 | 24:43 | 0:51 | 2:19 | 8 | 4 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 29 | 22:28 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 9 |
 Brad MarchandFLA | 28 | 21:55 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 6 | 1 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 26 | 20:36 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 27 | 20:25 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 0 | 3 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 22 | 20:14 | 0:55 | 3:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 26 | 20:13 | 0:47 | 2:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 26 | 19:19 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 6 | 2 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 22 | 19:00 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 25 | 18:32 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 0 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 17 | 18:29 | 1:05 | 2:42 | 1 | 0 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 2:19 | 6 | 0 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 16 | 17:16 | 1:05 | 2:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 28 | 17:10 | 0:37 | 1:18 | 3 | 7 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 24 | 16:56 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 5 | 3 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 23 | 16:47 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 24 | 16:42 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 24 | 16:06 | 0:40 | 1:37 | 0 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 15:04 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 5 | 2 |
 Jeff PetryFLA | 22 | 14:28 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 19 | 14:22 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 20 | 13:20 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 2 | 6 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 14 | 12:13 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 0 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 14 | 10:52 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 15 | 10:12 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 15 | 9:51 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Steven SantiniTBL | 14 | 7:58 | 0:34 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 15 | 7:51 | 0:31 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 10 | 6:32 | 0:39 | 0:53 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke KuninFLA | 11 | 4:39 | 0:25 | 0:43 | 2 | 0 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 6 | 3:45 | 0:38 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack StudnickaFLA | 9 | 3:42 | 0:25 | 0:40 | 2 | 0 |