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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 28, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:35Shot by Domi, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 2:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 4:14Shot by Copp, saved by Hildeby
  5. P1 6:38Shot by Raymond, saved by Hildeby
  6. P1 7:48Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 9:07Shot by McMann, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 9:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Hildeby
  9. P1 10:35Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Hildeby
  10. P1 11:01Shot by Seider, saved by Hildeby
  11. P1 11:15Shot by Knies, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 11:54Shot by Tanev, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 12:40Shot by Finnie, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 14:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 15:36Shot by Kane, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 17:51Shot by Appleton, saved by Hildeby
  17. P1 19:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 2:14Shot by Robertson, saved by Talbot
  21. P2 2:48Shot by Cowan, saved by Talbot
  22. P2 2:56Shot by Leonard, saved by Hildeby
  23. P2 3:29Chiarot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Leonard, Kasper, Danielson, Sandin-Pellikka · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher, Cowan

  24. P2 3:33Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Hildeby4v5
  25. P2 4:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot4v5
  26. P2 4:25Goal by Knies (Matthews, Tavares)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies

  27. P2 7:35Shot by Danielson, saved by Hildeby
  28. P2 8:56Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hildeby
  29. P2 9:31Compher: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Appleton, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Roy, Stecher, Robertson

  30. P2 9:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot4v5
  31. P2 10:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot4v5
  32. P2 13:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 14:26Shot by Johansson, saved by Hildeby
  34. P2 14:36Shot by Copp, saved by Hildeby
  35. P2 14:43Shot by Johansson, saved by Hildeby
  36. P2 14:51Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Hildeby
  37. P2 16:14Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Hildeby
  38. P2 16:32Shot by Appleton, saved by Hildeby
  39. P2 17:12Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hildeby
  40. P2 17:26Shot by Maccelli, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 17:59Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hildeby
  42. P2 19:01Goal by Seider (Raymond)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  43. P2 19:56Shot by Robertson, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:13Shot by Copp, saved by Hildeby
  47. P3 1:39Shot by Joshua, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 2:53Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Hildeby
  49. P3 3:02Shot by McMann, saved by Talbot
  50. P3 3:23Shot by McMann, saved by Talbot
  51. P3 4:15Shot by Kane, saved by Hildeby
  52. P3 4:17Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hildeby
  53. P3 4:24Shot by Kane, saved by Hildeby
  54. P3 4:53Goal by Robertson (Tavares)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Appleton, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Stecher, Robertson

  55. P3 5:06Shot by Joshua, saved by Talbot
  56. P3 5:16Goal by Appleton (Rasmussen, Johansson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Appleton, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Roy, Stecher, Robertson

  57. P3 5:28Shot by Lorentz, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 5:45Shot by Kasper, saved by Hildeby
  59. P3 7:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 10:12Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 10:14McMann: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  62. P3 10:14Seider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  63. P3 10:14McMann: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  64. P3 11:11Shot by Raymond, saved by Hildeby5v4
  65. P3 12:15Shot by Copp, saved by Hildeby
  66. P3 12:17Shot by Finnie, saved by Hildeby
  67. P3 12:24Shot by Cowan, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 14:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Hildeby
  69. P3 18:30Shot by Copp, saved by Hildeby
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:37Shot by Seider, saved by Hildeby3v3
  73. OT 0:59Shot by Knies, saved by Talbot3v3
  74. OT 1:37Shot by Kane, saved by Hildeby3v3
  75. OT 1:46Goal by Edvinsson, unassisted3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, Edvinsson · TOR Rielly, Matthews, Maccelli

  76. OT 1:46Period end3v3
  77. OT 1:46Final4v4