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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 28, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–McMannTavares–Maccelli–KniesJoshua–Roy–RobertsonLaughton–Lorentz–CowanRoy–Robertson–McMannTavares–Domi–McMannLaughton–Roy–LorentzTanev–McCabeEkman-Larsson–StecherRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–RiellyEkman-Larsson–McCabeRielly–McCabe
Larkin–Raymond–Finnie10:310.56–0.221:200.00–0.090:490.04–0.000:430.00–0.000:310.00–0.008:550.18–0.292:470.07–0.021:250.16–0.000:320.19–0.00
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat1:190.00–0.008:310.60–0.211:140.28–0.002:410.06–0.014:470.39–0.144:170.34–0.070:530.28–0.00
Compher–Appleton–Rasmussen1:410.00–0.090:540.00–0.287:240.09–0.210:350.05–0.002:580.00–0.435:360.14–0.082:210.00–0.141:060.00–0.09
Leonard–Kasper–Danielson4:430.22–0.181:560.14–0.001:170.03–0.052:300.04–0.18
Seider–Edvinsson10:110.53–0.311:260.05–0.101:080.01–0.012:420.34–0.180:530.00–0.007:360.16–0.244:400.04–0.184:130.21–0.180:580.34–0.001:130.29–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka0:320.00–0.004:470.36–0.083:300.01–0.142:160.18–0.004:030.20–0.014:160.17–0.073:470.22–0.21
Bernard-Docker–Johansson1:370.03–0.031:390.07–0.093:220.11–0.201:370.04–0.000:350.05–0.003:000.03–0.203:230.24–0.072:050.04–0.041:060.00–0.09
Chiarot–Bernard-Docker0:420.00–0.001:590.12–0.281:080.00–0.001:440.00–0.281:300.12–0.000:350.00–0.00
Chiarot–Johansson0:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Chiarot–Edvinsson0:330.01–0.000:360.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRaymond FFinnie FLarkin FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FAppleton FRasmussen FCompher FLeonard FDanielson FKasper FSeider DEdvinsson DChiarot DSandin-Pellikka DJohansson DBernard-Docker DTalbot GDomi FMatthews FMcMann FTavares FMaccelli FKnies FRoy FJoshua FRobertson FCowan FLorentz FLaughton FTanev DMcCabe DStecher DEkman-Larsson DMyers DRielly DHildeby G
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Simon EdvinssonDET3025:570:521:3334
Moritz SeiderDET2824:240:521:4334
Jake McCabeTOR3222:480:431:4709
Ben ChiarotDET2722:360:501:5541
Auston MatthewsTOR2522:010:531:4044
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3321:490:401:3052
Dylan LarkinDET2521:210:512:2444
Morgan RiellyTOR3020:350:411:4042
Chris TanevTOR3120:100:391:11010
Emmitt FinnieDET2319:580:521:2641
Lucas RaymondDET2219:500:542:2340
Troy StecherTOR3019:370:391:2923
Bobby McMannTOR2019:120:581:2623
Max DomiTOR2218:590:521:1923
Patrick KaneDET2017:510:541:3432
John TavaresTOR2017:470:531:4032
Andrew CoppDET2117:290:501:2222
Matthew KniesTOR2017:280:521:4021
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2117:070:492:0221
Alex DeBrincatDET2017:060:511:2431
Nicolas RoyTOR2015:520:481:5016
J.T. CompherDET1815:470:532:1031
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1815:470:531:3131
Matias MaccelliTOR1915:430:501:4032
Mason AppletonDET1815:080:502:0330
Philippe MyersTOR2113:590:401:0802
Albert JohanssonDET1913:550:442:0222
Michael RasmussenDET1713:280:482:0121
Nick RobertsonTOR1712:540:461:2711
Dakota JoshuaTOR1612:230:461:4404
Steven LorentzTOR1411:240:491:1703
Scott LaughtonTOR1710:440:381:1416
Easton CowanTOR139:530:461:2001
Nate DanielsonDET128:420:441:0331
Marco KasperDET128:250:421:0032
John LeonardDET127:310:380:5931