Sun, Dec 28, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.
50%
8%
9%
32%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.28 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 22:01 | 0.54 | 44.0% | +15.8 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.05 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.02 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.03 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.02 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.17 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.32 | 45.8% | +38.5 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.59 | 43.6% | +15.8 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.01 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.12 | 79.8% | +22.7 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.21 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.18 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.08 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 Dennis Hildeby#35 | O | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.17 | +0.2 | 61:46 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:57 | 0.29 | 68.4% | +50.9 |
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:24 | 0.21 | 59.0% | +20.4 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:36 | 0.10 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:21 | 0.12 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.31 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.32 | 59.5% | +20.4 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.29 | 84.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:29 | 0.59 | 83.4% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.38 | 80.1% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.06 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.14 | 13.1% | +22.7 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.06 | 42.9% | +22.7 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 16.2% | +22.7 |
 Nate DanielsonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.14 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:25 | 0.09 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 John LeonardLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:31 | 0.08 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Cam Talbot#39 | W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 61:46 |