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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 30, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Carolina Hurricanes

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Alexander NikishinD · #21000−2022:390.0033.3%0.0
K'Andre MillerD · #19000−3121:280.0141.1%0.0
Sean WalkerD · #26000−1420:530.1440.7%0.0
Jalen ChatfieldD · #5000−1119:170.0046.6%0.0
Eric RobinsonLW · #50000−1318:060.4239.9%0.0
Joel NystromD · #640110117:540.0366.4%+0.7
Mike ReillyD · #6011+1217:470.1856.6%+0.7
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82000−1317:130.1747.7%0.0
Nikolaj EhlersLW · #270000116:280.1459.1%0.0
Jackson BlakeRW · #53000−1015:280.0751.8%0.0
Taylor HallLW · #710000114:530.0755.4%0.0
William CarrierLW · #28000−1114:450.0737.0%0.0
Logan StankovenC · #220000214:220.1538.0%0.0
Sebastian AhoC · #20000−1213:520.2239.7%0.0
Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37000−2313:500.1540.1%0.0
Mark JankowskiLW · #771010213:290.3263.1%+0.7
Jordan StaalC · #11000−1112:330.0420.3%0.0
Jordan MartinookLW · #48000−1012:310.0028.6%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31L28235.8212.85−2.260:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580000222:320.0448.4%0.0
Brett KulakD · #77011+1021:580.0053.3%+13.0
Erik KarlssonD · #65022+3119:400.0859.0%+9.6
Sidney CrosbyC · #87101+2318:220.4849.9%+12.6
Jack St. IvanyD · #30000018:060.0262.9%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28011+2218:030.0157.4%+2.5
Ryan SheaD · #50000117:330.0858.8%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67011+1117:070.0844.8%+12.6
Bryan RustRW · #17022+1117:040.2044.7%+19.7
Noel AcciariC · #55000+1316:280.2167.1%0.0
Connor DewarC · #190000215:440.3367.7%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #18112+1214:390.1159.6%+3.2
Anthony ManthaRW · #39202+2314:230.3665.4%+7.8
Blake LizotteC · #460000114:210.0866.9%0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #410000214:180.2052.3%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #16112+1313:480.4264.3%+13.7
Ben KindelC · #810000013:380.0052.3%0.0
Rutger McGroartyRW · #20000112:160.1548.6%0.0
Stuart Skinner#74W28271.9642.20+1.260:00