Tue, Dec 30, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
29%
PIT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.14 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.42 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.03 | 66.4% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.18 | 56.6% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.17 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.14 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.07 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.07 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.07 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.15 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.22 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.15 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.32 | 63.1% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.04 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.85 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.00 | 53.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.08 | 59.0% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.48 | 49.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.02 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.01 | 57.4% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.08 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.08 | 44.8% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.20 | 44.7% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.21 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.33 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.11 | 59.6% | +3.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.36 | 65.4% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.08 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.20 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.42 | 64.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.20 | +1.2 | 60:00 |