Tue, Dec 30, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
29%
PIT winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Aho–Robinson–Svechnikov | Staal–Martinook–Carrier | Ehlers–Kotkaniemi–Blake | Hall–Jankowski–Stankoven | Carrier–Robinson–Kotkaniemi | Hall–Aho–Robinson | Hall–Jankowski–Kotkaniemi | Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake | Hall–Jankowski–Ehlers | Svechnikov–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Ehlers–Stankoven | Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov–Blake | Jankowski–Martinook–Carrier | Walker–Nikishin | Chatfield–Miller | Reilly–Nystrom | Reilly–Nikishin | Miller–Nystrom | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosby–Rust–Rakell | 5:260.36–0.63 | 1:220.25–0.00 | 1:230.05–0.01 | 1:310.00–0.02 | 2:200.00–0.11 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 3:100.13–0.23 | 9:420.36–0.52 | 1:300.01–0.02 | ||||||||
| Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte | 2:030.26–0.04 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 3:490.07–0.13 | 0:380.10–0.00 | 1:310.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:290.17–0.25 | 1:440.11–0.00 | 5:200.10–0.01 | ||||||
| Mantha–Novak–Brazeau | 0:410.12–0.00 | 3:080.07–0.08 | 1:260.00–0.14 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:490.00–0.08 | 4:180.25–0.13 | 4:230.00–0.22 | 0:580.19–0.00 | ||||||||
| Koivunen–McGroarty–Kindel | 0:410.00–0.00 | 4:060.07–0.16 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.11 | 2:510.22–0.01 | 3:360.13–0.16 | 2:490.00–0.17 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Letang–Kulak | 3:580.43–0.30 | 2:560.07–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:470.07–0.16 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 2:260.00–0.13 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 4:130.21–0.30 | 9:490.27–0.36 | 4:060.09–0.07 | 1:180.19–0.00 | |||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 4:020.27–0.38 | 4:100.25–0.01 | 0:550.05–0.01 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:100.06–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:340.04–0.08 | 6:450.35–0.16 | 4:510.19–0.38 | 3:530.01–0.10 | 0:400.10–0.00 | ||||
| Shea–St. Ivany | 0:420.24–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 5:260.07–0.19 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:320.07–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 1:220.00–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 6:210.26–0.18 | 2:010.14–0.00 | 5:540.01–0.18 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 23 | 22:39 | 0:59 | 2:00 | 3 | 5 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 21 | 22:32 | 1:04 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 Brett KulakPIT | 20 | 21:58 | 1:06 | 1:56 | 3 | 1 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 27 | 21:28 | 0:48 | 2:07 | 0 | 7 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 23 | 20:53 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 19 | 19:40 | 1:02 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 26 | 19:17 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 0 | 6 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:16 | 6 | 1 |
 Jack St. IvanyPIT | 20 | 18:06 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 0 | 3 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 18 | 18:03 | 1:00 | 1:51 | 1 | 1 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 22 | 17:54 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 19 | 17:33 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 0 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 20 | 17:13 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 4 | 1 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 21 | 17:07 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 7 | 1 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 6 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 17 | 16:28 | 0:58 | 2:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 21 | 15:44 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 2 | 6 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 18 | 15:28 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 17 | 14:53 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 William CarrierCAR | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 19 | 14:39 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 4 | 0 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 15 | 14:22 | 0:57 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 20 | 14:21 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 2 | 6 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 16 | 14:18 | 0:54 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 17 | 13:52 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 18 | 13:50 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 19 | 13:48 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 16 | 13:38 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 17 | 13:29 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 18 | 12:33 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 18 | 12:31 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Rutger McGroartyPIT | 15 | 12:16 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |