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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 31, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 4, Dallas Stars 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Bourque, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 0:15Goal by Bourque (Robertson, Heiskanen)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque · BUF Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Ostlund

  4. P1 0:38Faksa: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Petrovic, Blackwell, Faksa, Bäck, Lyubushkin · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Kesselring, Dunne, Power

  5. P1 1:07Shot by Doan, saved by DeSmith4v5
  6. P1 1:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith4v5
  7. P1 2:15Shot by Blackwell, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  8. P1 3:07Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 4:12Shot by Byram, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 4:53Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 4:58Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 6:06Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 6:07Shot by Benson, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 8:04Shot by Bourque, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 10:07Shot by Faksa, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 10:11Shot by Lindell, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 10:22Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 11:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 12:21Shot by McLeod, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 12:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  21. P1 14:50Shot by Petrovic, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P1 16:03Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P1 16:11Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 16:52Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P1 17:19Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  26. P1 17:20Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  27. P1 17:38Shot by Rantanen, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P1 18:03Shot by Dunne, saved by DeSmith
  29. P1 18:49Shot by Faksa, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P1 19:22Shot by Metsa, saved by DeSmith
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:41Hryckowian: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Heiskanen, Hryckowian · BUF Thompson, Kesselring, Krebs, Doan, Power

  34. P2 2:41Shot by Blackwell, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  35. P2 4:09Shot by Greenway, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 4:11Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 4:12Shot by Dunne, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 4:44Doan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan

  39. P2 6:26Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  40. P2 6:58Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 7:44Goal by Doan (Thompson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Duchene, Petrovic, Harley, Bourque · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan, Benson

  42. P2 8:35Shot by Blackwell, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 8:43Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 8:59Shot by Harley, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 9:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 13:26Shot by Krebs, saved by DeSmith
  47. P2 13:42Shot by Johnston, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 15:08Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 15:36Shot by Krebs, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 17:05Goal by Byram (Ostlund, Tuch)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Lundkvist, Harley, Johnston · BUF Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Ostlund

  51. P2 18:34Shot by Harley, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P2 18:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  53. P2 18:54Shot by Doan, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:47Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  57. P3 2:20Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 3:59Thompson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque · BUF Thompson, Kesselring, Krebs, Doan, Power

  59. P3 6:31Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 9:09Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 9:21Goal by Thompson (Doan, Byram)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston · BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram, Doan

  62. P3 11:02Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 11:03Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 11:35Goal by Thompson (Ostlund, Power)+4 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston, Hryckowian · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power, Ostlund

  65. P3 12:52Shot by Blackwell, saved by Luukkonen
  66. P3 12:56Shot by Hintz, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 14:59Shot by Quinn, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 15:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  69. P3 16:00Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final