Wed, Dec 31, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 4, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
9%
37%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 24:43 | 0.30 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 24:36 | 0.32 | 53.6% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:12 | 0.00 | 56.4% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.11 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 18:45 | 1.00 | 66.5% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.07 | 33.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.17 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.43 | 66.4% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.05 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.27 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.06 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.02 | 29.1% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.02 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.02 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:15 | 0.39 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.01 | 21.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 3.52 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:50 | 0.19 | 66.2% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.02 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.03 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 21:16 | 0.94 | 83.2% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.28 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.23 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.06 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.33 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.07 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.23 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.39 | 83.6% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.08 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:33 | 0.25 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:33 | 0.42 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.26 | −0.7 | 60:00 |