Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:51Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 1:53Shot by Lapierre, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 3:09Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Thompson
- P1 4:10Shot by Strome, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 4:21Ovechkin: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas
- P1 4:59Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson5v4
- P1 5:31Shot by Protas, saved by Meriläinen5v4
- P1 7:07Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 7:44Shot by Lapierre, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 8:07Shot by Chychrun, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 8:09Shot by Wilson, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 8:10Shot by Sourdif, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 8:13Goal by Wilson (Sourdif)+15 pts WP
On ice: OTT Jensen, Cousins, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle · WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Sourdif
- P1 9:16Zub: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas
- P1 9:16Zub: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas
- P1 9:16Strome: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas
- P1 11:10Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P1 11:18Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 11:27Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson
- P1 13:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Thompson
- P1 13:46Shot by Carlson, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 14:25Batherson: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif
- P1 14:25Sourdif: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif
- P1 14:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Thompson
- P1 15:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 15:49Shot by Strome, saved by Meriläinen
- P1 16:54Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Thompson
- P1 17:53Jensen: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: OTT Jensen, Cousins, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Duhaime, Sandin, Lapierre
- P1 18:59Goal by Strome (Leonard, Chychrun)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:45Shot by Batherson, saved by Thompson
- P2 3:13Cousins: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: OTT Jensen, Cousins, Chabot, Greig, Halliday · WSH Dowd, Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun, Leonard
- P2 4:19Shot by Chychrun, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P2 4:24Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P2 5:33Shot by Sandin, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 6:42Shot by Perron, saved by Thompson
- P2 7:38Shot by Sanderson, saved by Thompson
- P2 7:42Goal by Jensen (Sanderson, Pinto)+16 pts WP
On ice: OTT Jensen, Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Protas
- P2 8:21McMichael: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Perron, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Spence · WSH Wilson, Roy, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif
- P2 8:24Shot by Perron, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 8:38Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Meriläinen5v4
- P2 9:05Shot by Perron, saved by Thompson5v4
- P2 9:23Perron: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Sanderson, Stützle · WSH Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Fehérváry, Protas
- P2 10:48Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P2 11:25Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 12:23Shot by Frank, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 14:40Shot by Spence, saved by Thompson
- P2 14:52Shot by Perron, saved by Thompson
- P2 14:54Shot by Halliday, saved by Thompson
- P2 15:41Cousins: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Cousins, Zetterlund, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · WSH van Riemsdyk, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Leonard
- P2 15:41van Riemsdyk: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Cousins, Zetterlund, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · WSH van Riemsdyk, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Leonard
- P2 15:59Shot by Sanderson, saved by Thompson4v4
- P2 16:54Shot by Jensen, saved by Thompson4v4
- P2 18:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson
- P2 19:28Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson
- P2 19:29Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson
- P2 19:31Goal by Greig (Pinto, Amadio)+21 pts WP
On ice: OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig · WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:13Shot by Cozens, saved by Thompson
- P3 0:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Thompson
- P3 0:59Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Meriläinen
- P3 2:47Goal by Perron (Halliday, Cousins)+32 pts WP
On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Cousins, Chabot, Halliday · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Beauvillier, Sandin, Leonard
- P3 3:26Shot by Cozens, saved by Thompson
- P3 3:39Roy: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens · WSH Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Lapierre, Frank
- P3 4:55Shot by Pinto, saved by Thompson5v4
- P3 5:56Shot by Cousins, saved by Thompson
- P3 5:59Shot by Zub, saved by Thompson
- P3 6:11Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson
- P3 11:21Beauvillier: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: OTT Amadio, Zetterlund, Pinto, Spence, Kleven · WSH Carlson, Beauvillier, Sandin, Sourdif, Leonard
- P3 11:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Thompson5v4
- P3 14:50Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson
- P3 15:53Goal by Protas (Sourdif, Wilson)+44 pts WP
On ice: OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Chychrun, Protas, Sourdif
- P3 16:25Shot by Frank, saved by Meriläinen
- P3 16:41Shot by Carlson, saved by Meriläinen
- P3 17:38Goal by Zetterlund (Chabot, Stützle)+47 pts WP
On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle · WSH Wilson, Strome, Roy, Fehérváry, McMichael
- P3 17:59Shot by Strome, saved by Meriläinen5v6
- P3 19:00Shot by Protas, saved by Meriläinen5v6
- P3 0:00Period end5v6
- P3 0:00Final5v6