Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
68%
17%
OTT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:25 | 0.08 | 52.8% | +13.6 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.04 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Tom WilsonRW · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.31 | 61.2% | +58.9 |
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:38 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 18:47 | 0.17 | 19.6% | +13.6 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.04 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.19 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.03 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.16 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.32 | 25.5% | +43.6 |
 Justin SourdifC · #34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.30 | 55.7% | +58.9 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 27.7% | +13.6 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.03 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Ethen FrankRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.24 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.00 | 81.8% | 0.0 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:12 | 0.15 | 65.0% | 0.0 |
 Logan Thompson#48 | L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.00 | −1.0 | 57:45 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:44 | 0.44 | 71.7% | +15.6 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:54 | 0.05 | 75.3% | +47.2 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.13 | 55.8% | +47.2 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.07 | 58.0% | +36.2 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.30 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.07 | 53.2% | +15.6 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.25 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.03 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.17 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 70.1% | +20.6 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:08 | 1.06 | 60.6% | +20.6 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.06 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.04 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:35 | 0.50 | 73.6% | +32.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:30 | 0.25 | 88.9% | +47.2 |
 Stephen HallidayC · #83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 6:54 | 0.19 | 82.9% | +32.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:43 | 0.05 | 38.4% | +32.0 |
 Leevi Meriläinen#1 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 60:00 |