Thu, Jan 1, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Washington Capitals 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.
68%
17%
OTT winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–McMichael–Sourdif | Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Beauvillier–Leonard | Wilson–Strome–McMichael | Strome–Beauvillier–Leonard | Wilson–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Beauvillier–McMichael | Dowd–Beauvillier–Frank | McMichael–Sourdif–Frank | Dowd–Duhaime–Frank | Roy–Chychrun | Carlson–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Roy–Sandin | Carlson–Chychrun | Roy–Fehérváry | Chychrun–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Cozens | 1:540.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | 1:550.23–0.00 | 1:130.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | 1:150.00–0.06 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.06 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:480.06–0.00 | 2:380.05–0.01 | 2:060.12–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:130.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Amadio–Pinto–Greig | 1:380.47–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:080.38–0.02 | 0:570.09–0.14 | |||||||||||||
| Perron–Batherson–Cozens | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Cousins–Greig–Halliday | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Giroux–Zetterlund–Stützle | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Greig | 0:440.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||
| Cousins–Amadio–Greig | 0:460.26–0.00 | 0:460.26–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Chabot | 4:220.08–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.14 | 0:590.38–0.00 | 1:440.12–0.01 | 0:410.16–0.05 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 3:580.23–0.01 | 2:560.16–0.14 | 2:330.46–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.03 | 0:490.16–0.00 | |||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 0:430.06–0.00 | 3:570.08–0.05 | 1:590.26–0.08 | 2:120.32–0.00 | 3:080.11–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Spence–Kleven | 2:140.03–0.10 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.08 | 0:560.35–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 4:080.32–0.03 | 2:270.03–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Chabot–Spence | 0:470.05–0.00 | 1:050.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Kleven | 0:440.00–0.46 | 1:070.00–0.46 | ||||||||||||||||
| Spence–Sanderson | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:490.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 30 | 25:44 | 0:51 | 2:09 | 5 | 7 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 23:25 | 1:04 | 2:22 | 4 | 2 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 23 | 23:15 | 1:01 | 2:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 28 | 22:54 | 0:49 | 2:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 27 | 22:51 | 0:51 | 2:09 | 4 | 3 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 23 | 21:38 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 2 | 0 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 27 | 21:23 | 0:48 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 23 | 18:55 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 2 | 7 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 25 | 18:54 | 0:45 | 2:04 | 1 | 5 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 23 | 18:47 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 7 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 24 | 18:21 | 0:46 | 1:51 | 3 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 22 | 18:16 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 25 | 18:10 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 20 | 18:05 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 21 | 17:45 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 2 | 0 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 23 | 17:29 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 6 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 23 | 16:56 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 17 | 16:33 | 0:58 | 2:27 | 8 | 0 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 16:07 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 20 | 16:06 | 0:48 | 2:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 19 | 16:04 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 5 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 19 | 15:27 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 0 | 2 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 23 | 15:08 | 0:39 | 2:04 | 2 | 7 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 14:55 | 0:41 | 2:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 21 | 14:23 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 20 | 13:31 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 18 | 13:25 | 0:45 | 2:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 17 | 12:58 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 2 | 1 |
 David PerronOTT | 17 | 12:35 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 17 | 11:39 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 16 | 11:34 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 17 | 10:30 | 0:37 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 13 | 8:37 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 2 | 1 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 11 | 7:12 | 0:39 | 0:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Stephen HallidayOTT | 11 | 6:54 | 0:38 | 0:57 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 12 | 6:43 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 1 | 0 |