Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Edmonton Oilers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 74% of the time.
19%
67%
EDM winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:36 | 0.41 | 52.1% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:20 | 0.15 | 55.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.13 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.25 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.28 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.01 | 38.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.01 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:58 | 1.22 | 65.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.03 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 15:37 | 0.73 | 67.3% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.21 | 79.1% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.23 | 67.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.31 | 91.5% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.07 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.08 | 32.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.63 | +0.6 | 59:46 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 27:39 | 0.14 | 53.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:14 | 0.03 | 59.9% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 23:17 | 0.48 | 71.9% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.83 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.03 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:21 | 0.86 | 71.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.05 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.03 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.07 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.10 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.01 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:17 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.95 | −1.0 | 57:09 |