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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 10, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Calgary Flames 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Calgary Flames

2

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 73% of the time.

PIT winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Farabee, saved by Silovs
  3. P1 2:03Shot by Lizotte, saved by Cooley
  4. P1 2:33Goal by Zary, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hayes, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, St. Ivany · CGY Hanley, Frost, Pachal, Zary, Klapka

  5. P1 3:16Shot by Backlund, saved by Silovs
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Weegar, saved by Silovs
  7. P1 4:29Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Cooley
  8. P1 8:48Shot by Crosby, saved by Cooley
  9. P1 9:23Shot by Farabee, saved by Silovs
  10. P1 10:46Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 11:24Shot by Zary, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 12:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Silovs
  13. P1 12:41Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Silovs
  14. P1 13:48Shot by Brazeau, saved by Cooley
  15. P1 15:39Huberdeau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Kulak, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanley, Pachal, Coronato

  16. P1 16:56Shot by Rakell, saved by Cooley5v4
  17. P1 0:00Andersson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · CGY Backlund, Weegar, Andersson, Sharangovich, Coronato

  18. P1 0:00Wotherspoon: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · CGY Backlund, Weegar, Andersson, Sharangovich, Coronato

  19. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 3:24Shot by St. Ivany, saved by Cooley
  22. P2 4:29Shot by Acciari, saved by Cooley
  23. P2 5:36Shot by Weegar, saved by Silovs
  24. P2 6:54Hayes: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hayes, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau · CGY Backlund, Weegar, Zary, Kuznetsov, Coronato

  25. P2 8:30Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Silovs4v5
  26. P2 9:17Goal by Chinakhov (Malkin, Kindel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Shea, St. Ivany, Chinakhov, Kindel · CGY Weegar, Frost, Bahl, Zary, Klapka

  27. P2 9:17Malkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Shea, St. Ivany, Chinakhov, Kindel · CGY Weegar, Frost, Bahl, Zary, Klapka

  28. P2 10:27Stromgren: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Lizotte · CGY Backlund, Andersson, Frost, Sharangovich, Zary

  29. P2 11:35Shot by Kindel, saved by Cooley5v4
  30. P2 12:28Shot by Andersson, saved by Silovs
  31. P2 12:42Shot by Letang, saved by Cooley
  32. P2 13:31Shot by Mantha, saved by Cooley
  33. P2 13:32Shot by Mantha, saved by Cooley
  34. P2 14:32Shot by Lomberg, saved by Silovs
  35. P2 16:05Shot by Acciari, saved by Cooley
  36. P2 17:23Kuznetsov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Kulak, Novak · CGY Andersson, Frost, Sharangovich, Kuznetsov, Klapka

  37. P2 17:55Shot by Rakell, saved by Cooley5v4
  38. P2 18:05Shot by Andersson, saved by Silovs5v4
  39. P2 19:09Shot by Farabee, saved by Silovs5v4
  40. P2 19:29Shot by Brazeau, saved by Cooley
  41. P2 19:30Shot by Brazeau, saved by Cooley
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:42Goal by Coronato (Andersson, Backlund)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Kulak, Novak · CGY Backlund, Andersson, Bahl, Sharangovich, Coronato

  45. P3 1:16Shot by Kindel, saved by Cooley
  46. P3 3:56Shot by Coronato, saved by Silovs
  47. P3 4:16Shot by Kadri, saved by Silovs
  48. P3 5:03Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Silovs
  49. P3 5:51Shot by Kirkland, saved by Silovs
  50. P3 6:17Shot by Stromgren, saved by Silovs
  51. P3 7:56Shot by Crosby, saved by Cooley
  52. P3 9:40Shot by Mantha, saved by Cooley
  53. P3 9:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Cooley
  54. P3 10:28Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Cooley
  55. P3 10:38Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Cooley
  56. P3 11:46Shot by Kulak, saved by Cooley
  57. P3 11:52Shot by Acciari, saved by Cooley
  58. P3 12:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Cooley
  59. P3 12:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Cooley
  60. P3 13:03Brazeau: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Hayes, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Farabee, Kuznetsov

  61. P3 13:03Huberdeau: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Hayes, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Farabee, Kuznetsov

  62. P3 14:19Shot by Bahl, saved by Silovs4v4
  63. P3 15:04Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Silovs
  64. P3 15:12Shot by Weegar, saved by Silovs
  65. P3 15:32Shot by Kadri, saved by Silovs5v6
  66. P3 15:35Kulak: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Kulak, Brazeau · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Sharangovich, Zary, Kuznetsov

  67. P3 18:58Shot by Mantha, saved by Cooley6v5
  68. P3 19:47Shot by Mantha, saved by Cooley6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  70. P3 0:00Final6v5