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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 10, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Calgary Flames 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 73% of the time.

PIT winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus AnderssonD · #4011+1225:040.0331.8%+21.0
MacKenzie WeegarD · #52000−1323:210.0853.1%0.0
Kevin BahlD · #70000123:160.0828.7%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #910000321:130.1724.4%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #860000320:320.1428.2%0.0
Yan KuznetsovD · #370000320:200.1648.0%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #11011+1119:370.0667.4%+21.0
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #100000219:310.1955.9%0.0
Matt CoronatoRW · #27101+1219:150.2064.2%+21.0
Yegor SharangovichC · #17000+1015:390.0464.0%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #471010213:450.2153.6%+14.7
Joel HanleyD · #44000+1013:030.0332.6%0.0
Brayden PachalD · #94000+1011:120.0039.2%0.0
Adam KlapkaRW · #430000010:370.0748.4%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #160000010:200.0039.3%0.0
Justin KirklandC · #23000018:000.0132.7%0.0
Ryan LombergLW · #70000018:000.0023.3%0.0
William StromgrenLW · #65000017:270.0826.4%0.0
Devin Cooley#1W28271.9642.78+1.859:48

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #650000125:030.0061.1%0.0
Kris LetangD · #58000−1124:510.0767.8%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67000−1222:570.3240.0%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87000−1322:030.1144.9%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #280000319:220.1265.5%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71011+1018:590.0734.7%+15.4
Brett KulakD · #77000−1118:570.0464.0%0.0
Ben KindelC · #81011+1216:130.1335.6%+15.4
Connor DewarC · #190000014:590.0778.3%0.0
Ryan SheaD · #50000014:270.0028.4%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #550000314:140.3073.7%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #18000−1013:530.0266.1%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #460000112:580.1573.8%0.0
Jack St. IvanyD · #30000112:200.0532.2%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #39000−1511:520.3874.1%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #16000−1311:050.7678.0%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59101+1110:090.1156.0%+15.4
Kevin HayesRW · #13000−117:450.0875.3%0.0
Arturs Silovs#37L25232.9201.57−0.457:53