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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 1:23Shot by Doan, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 1:29Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 2:16Doan: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Quinn, Benson, Metsa · FLA Petry, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  7. P1 2:35Goal by Reinhart (Balinskis, Verhaeghe)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell, Balinskis

  8. P1 4:01Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 8:33Shot by Bennett, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 8:58Shot by Forsling, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 9:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 9:13Shot by Mikkola, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 10:19Goal by Bryson (McLeod, Metsa)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bryson, McLeod, Quinn, Benson, Metsa · FLA Petry, Kunin, Boqvist, Studnicka, Sebrango

  14. P1 11:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 14:38Shot by Zucker, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 15:11Goal by Greer (Bennett, Verhaeghe)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Balinskis

  17. P1 15:13Shot by Dahlin, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 15:43Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 16:15Shot by Petry, saved by Ellis
  20. P1 17:39Shot by Vilmanis, saved by Ellis
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:32Shot by Mikkola, saved by Ellis
  24. P2 3:05Shot by Dunne, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 3:41Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Ellis
  26. P2 5:06Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 6:55Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 7:10Shot by Byram, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 7:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  30. P2 8:33Bennett: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan, Power · FLA Ekblad, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Vilmanis, Balinskis

  31. P2 10:05Shot by Kunin, saved by Ellis5v4
  32. P2 10:58Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 13:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  34. P2 13:55Petry: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  35. P2 14:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Ellis5v4
  36. P2 16:31Shot by Bennett, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 16:35Sebrango: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Bryson, Dunne, Metsa · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  38. P2 16:35Dunne: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Bryson, Dunne, Metsa · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  39. P2 16:41Shot by Vilmanis, saved by Ellis
  40. P2 17:21Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 17:57Goal by Benson (Thompson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Byram, Doan, Power, Benson · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  42. P2 18:02Shot by Krebs, saved by Bobrovsky
  43. P2 18:40Shot by Bennett, saved by Ellis
  44. P2 18:48Shot by Krebs, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 19:35Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Bobrovsky
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 2:14Shot by Forsling, saved by Ellis
  49. P3 3:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P3 4:20Shot by Lundell, saved by Ellis
  51. P3 5:56Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 9:42Shot by Bennett, saved by Ellis
  53. P3 11:03Shot by Lundell, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 11:04Shot by Lundell, saved by Ellis
  55. P3 11:07Goal by Lundell (Luostarinen, Forsling)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Byram, Power · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  56. P3 11:38Shot by Mikkola, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 13:05Shot by Tuch, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 14:04Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 14:41Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 16:52Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Ellis
  61. P3 17:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  62. P3 17:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 18:46Goal by Greer (Verhaeghe, Bennett)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Balinskis

  64. P3 19:34Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  65. P3 19:46Goal by Tuch (Byram, Dahlin)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Byram · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Greer, Mikkola

  66. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  67. P3 0:00Final6v5