Mon, Jan 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 69% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
BUF winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:16 | 0.04 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:12 | 0.23 | 74.1% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:58 | 0.01 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.02 | 31.0% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:55 | 0.59 | 56.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.24 | 50.1% | +36.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.31 | 43.7% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.65 | 57.3% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.11 | 57.4% | +26.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.66 | 43.0% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:40 | 0.12 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.12 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.02 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.04 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:25 | 0.18 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:14 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:31 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 59:37 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:27 | 0.06 | 43.1% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.12 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.07 | 48.1% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:46 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:08 | 0.55 | 57.7% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.46 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.18 | 28.7% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.21 | 36.6% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:03 | 0.23 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 40.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.23 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.15 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 13.2% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.01 | 16.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.03 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 57:28 |