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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 12, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 69% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reinhart–Luostarinen–LundellVerhaeghe–Bennett–GreerRodrigues–Samoskevich–VilmanisKunin–Boqvist–StudnickaVerhaeghe–Reinhart–BennettEkblad–ForslingMikkola–BalinskisPetry–SebrangoPetry–MikkolaMikkola–SebrangoPetry–Balinskis
Zucker–Tuch–Norris4:410.24–0.703:110.03–0.071:120.03–0.081:330.03–0.006:470.18–0.763:070.03–0.021:110.03–0.00
Thompson–Krebs–Doan2:020.10–0.013:320.49–0.060:420.17–0.051:440.19–0.084:150.56–0.120:510.00–0.00
Thompson–Doan–Benson3:020.53–0.391:330.00–0.100:570.00–0.003:030.25–0.582:040.03–0.100:300.00–0.03
Greenway–Malenstyn–Dunne0:420.00–0.013:060.00–0.141:540.03–0.001:100.00–0.001:460.03–0.001:210.00–0.000:340.00–0.051:000.00–0.01
McLeod–Quinn–Benson1:560.00–0.072:080.00–0.001:070.00–0.001:200.00–0.002:150.01–0.070:420.00–0.00
McLeod–Krebs–Quinn1:550.00–0.002:160.00–0.111:580.00–0.011:500.00–0.081:180.11–0.03
Greenway–McLeod–Quinn1:170.00–0.100:440.00–0.10
Thompson–Quinn–Benson
Samuelsson–Dahlin6:500.17–0.328:100.46–0.211:280.00–0.011:100.00–0.178:380.10–0.718:060.57–0.182:020.00–0.080:510.00–0.00
Byram–Power6:070.60–0.785:130.14–0.163:060.03–0.231:220.03–0.007:470.51–0.854:350.09–0.131:570.03–0.031:320.00–0.080:570.00–0.010:310.25–0.00
Bryson–Metsa0:470.00–0.074:200.00–0.151:340.01–0.001:050.00–0.002:280.00–0.062:060.01–0.070:370.03–0.000:550.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Metsa0:360.00–0.081:040.00–0.08
Dahlin–Power0:480.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNorris FZucker FTuch FThompson FKrebs FDoan FBenson FQuinn FMcLeod FGreenway FMalenstyn FDunne FByram DPower DSamuelsson DDahlin DMetsa DBryson DEllis GReinhart FLundell FLuostarinen FGreer FBennett FVerhaeghe FSamoskevich FRodrigues FVilmanis FStudnicka FBoqvist FKunin FEkblad DForsling DMikkola DBalinskis DPetry DSebrango DBobrovsky G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2725:270:572:2362
Niko MikkolaFLA3225:160:471:2763
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2224:271:072:4731
Bowen ByramBUF2824:160:521:5527
Gustav ForslingFLA3024:120:481:3047
Aaron EkbladFLA3123:580:461:3945
Owen PowerBUF2723:460:532:0816
Uvis BalinskisFLA3022:190:451:3672
Tage ThompsonBUF2422:080:551:3854
Sam ReinhartFLA2720:550:461:2057
Carter VerhaegheFLA2320:390:541:5941
Sam BennettFLA2319:290:512:0051
Josh DoanBUF2319:140:501:3644
Anton LundellFLA2718:530:421:0567
Alex TuchBUF2518:510:451:3054
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2518:290:441:0965
Zach BensonBUF2418:170:461:2854
Jack QuinnBUF2118:030:522:4914
Ryan McLeodBUF2217:550:492:5803
A.J. GreerFLA2217:350:481:2532
Jason ZuckerBUF2316:530:441:2964
Josh NorrisBUF2316:430:441:2863
Evan RodriguesFLA2016:400:501:1640
Peyton KrebsBUF1915:470:501:3615
Mackie SamoskevichFLA1813:460:461:1230
Jeff PetryFLA2013:150:401:1320
Sandis VilmanisFLA1812:030:401:0240
Donovan SebrangoFLA1610:440:401:1120
Zach MetsaBUF1310:070:471:4203
Jacob BrysonBUF128:180:421:1213
Jordan GreenwayBUF128:070:411:4701
Josh DunneBUF117:130:391:0601
Beck MalenstynBUF116:410:361:0401
Luke KuninFLA116:250:351:1610
Jesper BoqvistFLA116:140:340:5120
Jack StudnickaFLA105:310:330:5610