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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Kelly, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Cowan, saved by Miner
  5. P1 3:25Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:47Shot by Colton, saved by Woll
  7. P1 5:25Shot by Manson, saved by Woll
  8. P1 6:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Miner
  9. P1 6:49Shot by Benoit, saved by Miner
  10. P1 6:59Shot by Domi, saved by Miner
  11. P1 7:52Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  12. P1 8:28Shot by Colton, saved by Woll
  13. P1 8:47Shot by Rielly, saved by Miner
  14. P1 8:51Shot by McMann, saved by Miner
  15. P1 9:12Shot by Domi, saved by Miner
  16. P1 10:51Shot by Colton, saved by Woll
  17. P1 11:15Goal by Cowan, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Roy, McMann, Cowan

  18. P1 12:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Woll
  19. P1 13:29Makar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Makar · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Nylander, Carlo, Lorentz

  20. P1 14:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Miner4v5
  21. P1 14:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Miner4v5
  22. P1 14:56Shot by McMann, saved by Miner4v5
  23. P1 14:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Miner4v5
  24. P1 15:20Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Miner4v5
  25. P1 15:30Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Miner
  26. P1 16:12Goal by Makar (Necas, MacKinnon)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Roy, Lorentz

  27. P1 17:48Rielly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Olofsson, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Roy, McMann, Cowan

  28. P1 17:53Goal by Nelson (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Lorentz

  29. P1 18:11Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Woll
  30. P1 18:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Woll
  31. P1 18:41Shot by Roy, saved by Miner
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Miner
  35. P2 2:03Shot by Solovyov, saved by Woll
  36. P2 2:12Goal by McMann, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Olofsson, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov · TOR Roy, Stecher, Benoit, McMann, Cowan

  37. P2 3:32Shot by Knies, saved by Miner
  38. P2 4:40Shot by McMann, saved by Miner
  39. P2 4:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Miner
  40. P2 9:18Ivan: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Makar, Drury, Malinski · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Stecher, Maccelli

  41. P2 12:54Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Woll
  42. P2 13:48Shot by Solovyov, saved by Woll
  43. P2 14:11Shot by McCabe, saved by Miner
  44. P2 15:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  45. P2 15:42Shot by McMann, saved by Miner
  46. P2 16:12Shot by Olofsson, saved by Woll
  47. P2 16:58Shot by Domi, saved by Miner
  48. P2 17:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Miner
  49. P2 19:11Shot by Manson, saved by Woll
  50. P2 19:16Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:19Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  54. P3 1:20Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  55. P3 1:39Shot by Drury, saved by Woll
  56. P3 3:07Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  57. P3 4:31McMann: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Girard, Necas, Malinski · TOR Tavares, Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit

  58. P3 5:24Shot by Burns, saved by Woll5v4
  59. P3 5:57Shot by Colton, saved by Woll5v4
  60. P3 7:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Miner
  61. P3 8:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Miner
  62. P3 9:14Shot by Burns, saved by Woll
  63. P3 9:26Shot by Burns, saved by Woll
  64. P3 10:08Laughton: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas · TOR Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Stecher, Knies

  65. P3 10:08Necas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas · TOR Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Stecher, Knies

  66. P3 10:24Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Ekman-Larsson)4v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Girard · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews

  67. P3 10:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Woll4v4
  68. P3 12:55Goal by Necas (MacKinnon)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Girard, Colton, Necas · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  69. P3 14:14Shot by McMann, saved by Miner
  70. P3 14:57Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  71. P3 17:18Matthews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  72. P3 18:18Shot by Carlo, saved by Miner5v4
  73. P3 18:34Shot by Colton, saved by Woll5v4
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 1:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Woll3v3
  77. OT 1:49Shot by Necas, saved by Woll3v3
  78. OT 2:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Miner3v3
  79. OT 3:10Shot by Maccelli, saved by Miner3v3
  80. OT 3:59Goal by Nylander (Ekman-Larsson, Matthews)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews

  81. OT 3:59Period end3v3
  82. OT 3:59Final4v4