Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
32%
9%
9%
50%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 25:29 | 0.26 | 34.7% | +75.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.23 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:29 | 0.46 | 51.2% | +75.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.05 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.04 | 35.6% | +75.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:45 | 0.19 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.35 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:06 | 0.42 | 72.2% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.05 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.32 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.03 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.07 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.05 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1.00 | 66.3% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | 0.00 | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.01 | 0.0 | 63:06 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27:22 | 0.11 | 56.8% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 24:40 | 0.39 | 70.0% | +62.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:31 | 0.67 | 68.2% | +43.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:09 | 0.64 | 33.0% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.08 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.13 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.04 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.10 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.14 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.05 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:03 | 0.41 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.16 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.02 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:52 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:04 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:34 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 4 | .903 | 3.54 | −0.5 | 63:28 |