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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Auston MatthewsC · #34112+1225:290.2634.7%+75.1
Jake McCabeD · #22000−2222:160.2339.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88112+2421:290.4651.2%+75.1
Matthew KniesLW · #230000121:270.0527.6%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950220220:530.0435.6%+75.1
Morgan RiellyD · #44000+2320:450.1964.6%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000+1120:380.0063.8%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000319:260.3557.9%0.0
Troy StecherD · #28000+1018:410.0033.3%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74101+1618:060.4272.2%+21.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1317:360.0536.1%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #630000117:290.3258.0%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1116:530.0338.1%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #55000+1112:140.0767.4%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #24000−1011:510.0538.6%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #53101+2111:101.0066.3%+15.5
Steven LorentzC · #18000−109:080.0040.0%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000001:140.000.2%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W34313.9123.010.063:06

Colorado Avalanche

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Cale MakarD · #81120227:220.1156.8%+35.0
Nathan MacKinnonC · #29033+1324:400.3970.0%+62.8
Martin NecasC · #88112+2522:310.6768.2%+43.8
Brock NelsonC · #11101−2422:090.6433.0%+19.0
Sam MalinskiD · #700000222:090.0852.7%0.0
Artturi LehkonenLW · #620000121:390.1354.6%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #49000−1021:110.0450.8%0.0
Brent BurnsD · #840000320:420.1033.5%0.0
Josh MansonD · #42000−1220:100.1437.0%0.0
Valeri NichushkinRW · #13000−3118:240.0033.7%0.0
Jack DruryC · #18000−1115:580.0560.6%0.0
Victor OlofssonLW · #950000215:240.0770.2%0.0
Ross ColtonC · #200000515:030.4135.2%0.0
Parker KellyC · #17000−1114:280.1659.6%0.0
Ilya SolovyovD · #28000−129:080.0259.9%0.0
Gavin BrindleyC · #54000005:520.0045.7%0.0
Ivan IvanC · #82000005:040.0014.7%0.0
Zakhar BardakovC · #93000004:340.007.9%0.0
Trent Miner#50O31284.9033.54−0.563:28