Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 12, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–KniesTavares–Nylander–MaccelliRoy–McMann–CowanLaughton–Lorentz–McMannDomi–Matthews–McMannRoy–Robertson–CowanEkman-Larsson–McCabeRielly–CarloStecher–BenoitMcCabe–CarloRielly–McCabeEkman-Larsson–CarloEkman-Larsson–StecherCarlo–Stecher
Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas6:400.30–0.192:250.03–0.000:570.07–0.000:340.00–0.009:050.33–0.220:580.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:330.07–0.00
Nelson–Nichushkin–Colton1:030.20–0.003:450.29–0.121:150.22–1.000:530.00–0.080:320.01–0.004:350.64–1.193:470.07–0.04
Olofsson–Kelly–Drury2:080.10–0.011:370.03–0.071:250.10–0.000:530.22–0.000:400.10–0.004:110.22–0.132:320.17–0.150:540.06–0.00
Bardakov–Ivan–Brindley1:250.00–0.000:370.00–0.050:320.00–0.001:000.00–0.051:230.01–0.00
Nichushkin–Kelly–Drury0:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
MacKinnon–Olofsson–Necas0:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
MacKinnon–Colton–Necas
Makar–Malinski4:560.26–0.152:180.21–0.000:370.00–0.000:440.02–0.051:220.00–0.084:330.06–0.113:230.41–0.052:210.07–0.02
Burns–Manson2:230.24–0.031:270.00–0.121:060.15–1.000:310.00–0.003:170.24–0.032:470.20–1.181:230.00–0.03
Girard–Makar0:480.00–0.011:030.03–0.001:300.03–0.081:100.00–0.071:030.00–0.010:300.07–0.00
Manson–Girard2:310.07–0.000:390.00–0.000:300.08–0.000:470.00–0.082:240.07–0.000:400.00–0.00
Girard–Solovyov0:340.10–0.001:050.00–0.000:480.01–0.070:350.03–0.000:430.10–0.000:430.10–0.001:340.13–0.001:490.06–0.14
Burns–Solovyov0:330.02–0.000:530.05–0.000:310.00–0.00
Manson–Malinski1:190.00–0.00
Solovyov–Malinski0:340.07–0.000:320.01–0.000:470.07–0.00
Burns–Malinski0:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Burns–Girard1:140.08–0.00
Manson–Makar0:300.00–0.000:570.12–0.00
Burns–Makar0:450.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMacKinnon FLehkonen FNecas FNichushkin FColton FNelson FKelly FDrury FOlofsson FBardakov FBrindley FIvan FManson DBurns DMalinski DMakar DGirard DSolovyov DMiner GLorentz FLaughton FMcMann FMatthews FKnies FDomi FMaccelli FNylander FTavares FRoy FCowan FRobertson FMcCabe DEkman-Larsson DCarlo DRielly DBenoit DStecher DWoll G
COLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Cale MakarCOL3227:220:511:5463
Auston MatthewsTOR2925:290:532:1134
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2924:400:512:3493
Martin NecasCOL2622:310:522:2372
Jake McCabeTOR3422:160:391:4838
Brock NelsonCOL2622:090:512:1134
Sam MalinskiCOL2722:090:491:1443
Artturi LehkonenCOL2521:390:521:5364
William NylanderTOR2321:290:562:4423
Matthew KniesTOR2521:270:511:1942
Samuel GirardCOL2221:110:581:4122
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3220:530:391:5035
Morgan RiellyTOR3020:450:421:4121
Brent BurnsCOL2620:420:481:4914
Brandon CarloTOR3220:380:391:2232
Josh MansonCOL2520:100:481:4015
John TavaresTOR2419:260:491:4033
Troy StecherTOR2818:410:401:2713
Valeri NichushkinCOL2618:240:421:3112
Bobby McMannTOR2518:060:431:2523
Max DomiTOR2217:360:481:1433
Matias MaccelliTOR2117:290:502:4132
Simon BenoitTOR2516:530:411:2104
Jack DruryCOL2415:580:401:0642
Victor OlofssonCOL2115:240:441:0732
Ross ColtonCOL2015:030:451:3101
Parker KellyCOL1914:280:461:0933
Nicolas RoyTOR2112:140:351:0010
Scott LaughtonTOR2411:510:301:0506
Easton CowanTOR1511:100:451:2930
Ilya SolovyovCOL139:080:421:0820
Steven LorentzTOR179:080:321:0503
Gavin BrindleyCOL85:520:441:1910
Ivan IvanCOL75:040:431:1910
Zakhar BardakovCOL74:340:391:0110
Nick RobertsonTOR21:140:370:4600