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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 13, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (SO)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Lizotte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Acciari, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:54Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Crozier, Carlile

  5. P1 2:02Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 2:31Shot by Cirelli, saved by Silovs5v4
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:09Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovs
  9. P1 7:16Shot by Paul, saved by Silovs
  10. P1 7:39Shot by Moser, saved by Silovs
  11. P1 8:09Shot by Hagel, saved by Silovs
  12. P1 8:30Shot by Moser, saved by Silovs
  13. P1 8:55Shot by Moser, saved by Silovs
  14. P1 9:34Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 12:43Shot by Hagel, saved by Silovs
  16. P1 13:38Shot by Holmberg, saved by Silovs
  17. P1 14:04Shot by Raddysh, saved by Silovs
  18. P1 15:17Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Mantha, Wotherspoon, St. Ivany, Kindel · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Cernak, D'Astous

  19. P1 15:41Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  20. P1 16:10Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  21. P1 16:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:57Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:14Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 1:48Shot by Carlile, saved by Silovs
  27. P2 2:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Silovs
  28. P2 2:49Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Cernak, D'Astous

  29. P2 3:26Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  30. P2 3:48Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 5:00Shot by Clifton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 5:43Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 8:59Shot by Paul, saved by Silovs
  34. P2 9:06Shot by Cernak, saved by Silovs
  35. P2 9:40Clifton: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, Lizotte · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel, D'Astous

  36. P2 10:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovs4v5
  37. P2 11:07Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Silovs4v5
  38. P2 11:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovs4v5
  39. P2 11:44Shot by Hagel, saved by Silovs
  40. P2 12:16Crosby: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Kulak · TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, D'Astous

  41. P2 15:11Shot by Kulak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 15:21Shot by Novak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 16:52Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovs
  44. P2 17:33Shot by Kindel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:43Shot by James, saved by Silovs
  48. P3 1:42Shot by Novak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 2:47Shot by Goncalves, saved by Silovs
  50. P3 2:49Shot by Goncalves, saved by Silovs
  51. P3 3:10Cirelli: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  52. P3 3:10Clifton: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  53. P3 3:10Clifton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  54. P3 3:10Cirelli: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  55. P3 3:10Cirelli: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  56. P3 3:10Cernak: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier, Goncalves

  57. P3 9:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Silovs
  58. P3 9:24Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:49Shot by D'Astous, saved by Silovs
  61. P3 13:38Shot by Novak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 13:56Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 14:09Shot by Gourde, saved by Silovs
  64. P3 14:13Goal by Moser (Gourde, Girgensons)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Kulak · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  65. P3 17:44Goal by Malkin (Letang)6v5+36 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Mantha · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Raddysh, Moser

  66. P3 18:20Shot by D'Astous, saved by Silovs
  67. P3 18:29Shot by Raddysh, saved by Silovs
  68. P3 19:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovs
  69. P3 19:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Silovs
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:47Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  73. OT 2:35Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  74. OT 2:41Shot by Kindel, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  75. OT 3:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Silovs3v3
  76. OT 4:51Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  77. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  78. SO Period start
  79. SO Shot by Rakell, saved by Vasilevskiyother
  80. SO Goal by Goncalves, unassistedother
  81. SO Shot by Guentzel, saved by Silovsother
  82. SO Goal by Chinakhov, unassistedother
  83. SO Goal by Kucherov, unassistedother
  84. SO Period endother
  85. SO Finalother