Tue, Jan 13, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
PIT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Kucherov–Guentzel–Paul | Bjorkstrand–Finley–James | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Cirelli–Hagel–Goncalves | Hagel–Goncalves–James | Raddysh–Moser | Cernak–D'Astous | Crozier–Carlile | Raddysh–D'Astous | D'Astous–Crozier | Crozier–Moser | D'Astous–Moser | Raddysh–Carlile | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosby–Rust–Rakell | 8:400.18–0.44 | 1:470.06–0.09 | 6:080.12–0.29 | 2:030.06–0.04 | 0:570.00–0.16 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:120.06–0.05 | ||||||
| Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov | 4:020.11–0.05 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.11 | 1:230.15–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:420.10–0.00 | 4:390.29–0.16 | 0:310.10–0.00 | ||||||
| Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte | 0:430.00–0.03 | 3:210.30–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.23 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.08 | 3:320.00–0.33 | 2:570.29–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | |||||
| Mantha–Brazeau–Kindel | 0:310.11–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.07 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:370.08–0.12 | 0:590.00–0.26 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:360.11–0.00 | |||||||
| Novak–Brazeau–Kindel | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Letang–Kulak | 6:190.23–0.39 | 1:580.06–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.11 | 0:360.07–0.00 | 5:590.11–0.37 | 2:090.08–0.00 | 2:250.13–0.17 | 0:460.15–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:150.06–0.05 | |||
| Wotherspoon–St. Ivany | 1:440.05–0.13 | 1:350.00–0.04 | 2:030.29–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 1:250.08–0.08 | 1:280.04–0.10 | 4:290.33–0.12 | 2:320.08–0.09 | 0:540.00–0.02 | ||||
| Clifton–Shea | 1:000.01–0.00 | 3:270.11–0.03 | 1:190.01–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.23 | 3:450.01–0.27 | 1:290.04–0.05 | 2:060.08–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Kulak–St. Ivany | 0:480.00–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Shea–St. Ivany | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 1:050.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kulak–Clifton | 0:350.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||
| Letang–Wotherspoon | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Clifton–Wotherspoon | 0:350.00–0.21 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 28:00 | 1:13 | 4:09 | 2 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 26:22 | 1:12 | 2:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Brett KulakPIT | 25 | 25:56 | 1:02 | 2:33 | 2 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 26 | 25:54 | 1:00 | 2:19 | 1 | 7 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 26 | 25:13 | 0:58 | 1:40 | 6 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 24:39 | 0:59 | 4:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 22:38 | 1:02 | 5:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 24 | 22:37 | 0:57 | 1:58 | 7 | 0 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 25 | 22:14 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 8 | 1 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 24 | 21:57 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 8 | 0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 26 | 21:06 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 17 | 20:20 | 1:12 | 2:57 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack St. IvanyPIT | 23 | 19:58 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 18:48 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 22 | 18:15 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 16 | 16:05 | 1:00 | 2:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 23 | 15:59 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 18 | 15:38 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 15:28 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 20 | 14:31 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 15 | 14:01 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 0 | 3 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 17 | 13:44 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 14 | 13:08 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 0 | 1 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 15 | 13:06 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 0 | 7 |
 Egor ChinakhovPIT | 15 | 13:05 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 15 | 12:38 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 0 | 7 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 18 | 12:32 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 13 | 11:18 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 14 | 10:50 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 0 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 14 | 10:35 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 10:07 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 13 | 9:28 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 11 | 6:50 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 2 | 1 |