Tue, Jan 13, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
27%
PIT winsTBL wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
PIT attack the right-hand net, TBL the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
PITTBL