Tue, Jan 13, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Montréal Canadiens 2, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
WSH winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:37 | 0.23 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:54 | 0.05 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:58 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.48 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.13 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.32 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.54 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.32 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.09 | 43.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 5.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.12 | 26.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.16 | 39.6% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:43 | 0.19 | 30.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:18 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 4.57 | +1.6 | 63:59 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27:46 | 0.64 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:45 | 0.58 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 24:36 | 0.30 | 60.9% | +104.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:53 | 0.03 | 60.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:26 | 0.64 | 72.8% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:32 | 0.47 | 44.7% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.11 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.07 | 65.3% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.01 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:06 | 0.64 | 68.4% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.03 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.09 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.22 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.25 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.13 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.37 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 73.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.63 | +0.6 | 63:52 |