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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 14, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:52Luukkonen: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Doan, Power · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Andrae, Michkov

  3. P1 2:22Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  4. P1 5:07Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 6:05Shot by Grebenkin, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 9:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 9:16York: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn · PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, York, Grebenkin

  8. P1 9:22Shot by Doan, saved by Vladar5v4
  9. P1 9:30Goal by Dahlin (Doan, Thompson)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Doan · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Dvorak, Juulsen

  10. P1 11:04Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 11:24Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 13:02Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 13:40Shot by McLeod, saved by Vladar
  14. P1 15:13Goal by Samuelsson (Ostlund, Doan)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Ostlund · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York, Drysdale

  15. P1 16:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Vladar
  16. P1 17:30Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 18:17Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:06Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P2 1:38Shot by Doan, saved by Ersson
  22. P2 2:05Zegras: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Norris, Bryson, Doan, Ostlund, Metsa · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Andrae, Drysdale

  23. P2 3:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Ersson5v4
  24. P2 4:22Goal by Quinn (McLeod, Benson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Benson · PHI Seeler, Konecny, Juulsen, Abols, Zegras

  25. P2 7:12Shot by Cates, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 9:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Ersson
  27. P2 10:28Goal by Tippett (Cates)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · PHI Seeler, Juulsen, Tippett, Cates, Grebenkin

  28. P2 11:36Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 12:44Konecny: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Power, Benson · PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Abols, Zegras, York

  30. P2 13:51Goal by Dahlin (Norris, Thompson)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Doan · PHI Seeler, Juulsen, Abols, Grundstrom

  31. P2 14:02Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Ersson
  32. P2 15:23Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 16:05Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 17:34Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 19:14Benson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Benson · PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, York, Grebenkin

  36. P2 19:42Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  37. P2 0:00Hathaway: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, York

  38. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 2:57Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P3 3:00Shot by Drysdale, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P3 3:05Shot by Michkov, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P3 3:35Konecny: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Andrae, Drysdale, Michkov

  44. P3 3:46Shot by Zucker, saved by Ersson5v4
  45. P3 4:18Byram: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Dvorak, Juulsen

  46. P3 6:47Metsa: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Benson, Metsa · PHI Deslauriers, Hathaway, Abols, Andrae, Drysdale

  47. P3 7:37Goal by Zegras (Konecny, Tippett)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale

  48. P3 13:22Seeler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Cates, Andrae, Grebenkin

  49. P3 14:35Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  50. P3 15:17Shot by Quinn, saved by Ersson5v4
  51. P3 17:12Shot by Zegras, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  52. P3 17:45Byram: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram, Doan, Kozak · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale, Michkov

  53. P3 19:20Goal by McLeod (Tuch)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale, Michkov

  54. P3 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Final