Wed, Jan 14, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
9%
26%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:25 | 0.07 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 7 | 23:07 | 0.68 | 51.5% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.42 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.18 | 58.3% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.17 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.13 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.29 | 85.9% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.13 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.23 | 96.4% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.06 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.16 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.01 | 3.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.05 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:03 | 0.05 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 8 | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1.61 | −0.4 | 37:27 | |
| – | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 1.13 | −0.9 | 19:42 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.19 | 57.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:47 | 0.34 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.35 | 35.4% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.02 | 44.5% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.47 | 33.4% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:18 | 1.14 | 63.2% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.23 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.14 | 44.2% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.12 | 64.5% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.41 | 52.4% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.02 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 59.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 45.9% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.10 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.66 | +0.7 | 60:00 |