Wed, Jan 14, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
9%
26%
BUF winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dvorak–Konecny–Zegras | Tippett–Cates–Grebenkin | Couturier–Grundstrom–Michkov | Deslauriers–Hathaway–Abols | Couturier–Tippett–Michkov | Andrae–Drysdale | Sanheim–York | Seeler–Juulsen | York–Drysdale | Sanheim–Drysdale | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 2:200.00–0.43 | 3:160.00–0.17 | 1:220.26–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.00 | 5:090.19–0.48 | 2:390.00–0.06 | 1:520.00–0.07 | |||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 2:160.16–0.23 | 2:040.00–0.17 | 2:140.40–0.00 | 1:160.17–0.00 | 3:270.51–0.15 | 1:440.00–0.16 | 1:540.00–0.14 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:500.10–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 2:400.00–0.14 | |||
| Norris–Doan–Ostlund | 5:210.14–0.11 | 2:200.14–0.09 | 1:560.00–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Krebs–Doan–Ostlund | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Byram–Power | 5:510.16–0.63 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:170.48–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 5:340.52–0.66 | 2:010.00–0.06 | 2:130.00–0.07 | 0:400.00–0.01 | ||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:350.00–0.14 | 3:440.00–0.49 | 2:090.17–0.00 | 1:020.18–0.00 | 4:200.13–0.00 | 2:400.00–0.43 | 2:040.00–0.20 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |
| Bryson–Metsa | 1:010.00–0.00 | 2:340.02–0.11 | 2:150.00–0.07 | 1:160.00–0.11 | 2:130.02–0.01 | 3:110.00–0.14 | ||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.00 | 0:440.20–0.00 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Byram–Metsa |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jamie DrysdalePHI | 26 | 25:25 | 0:59 | 3:40 | 3 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 24:11 | 1:00 | 2:36 | 2 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 28 | 23:47 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 1 | 5 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 23:22 | 0:56 | 1:56 | 6 | 3 |
 Trevor ZegrasPHI | 23 | 23:07 | 1:00 | 2:36 | 8 | 3 |
 Christian DvorakPHI | 26 | 22:43 | 0:52 | 2:36 | 9 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 22:42 | 0:57 | 1:35 | 3 | 5 |
 Travis KonecnyPHI | 24 | 22:25 | 0:56 | 2:36 | 9 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 21:44 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 2 | 8 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 30 | 21:29 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 2 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 20:23 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 6 | 3 |
 Emil AndraePHI | 25 | 19:57 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 4 | 6 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 27 | 18:51 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 7 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 22 | 17:37 | 0:48 | 2:44 | 4 | 2 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 20 | 17:36 | 0:53 | 2:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 25 | 17:26 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Matvei MichkovPHI | 20 | 16:01 | 0:48 | 2:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 15:39 | 0:49 | 2:42 | 6 | 4 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 23 | 15:07 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 19 | 14:47 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 |
 Noah JuulsenPHI | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Nikita GrebenkinPHI | 20 | 13:50 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 13:48 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Sean CouturierPHI | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 5 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 15 | 12:01 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Carl GrundstromPHI | 16 | 11:41 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 16 | 11:32 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 11:16 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 13 | 9:31 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 0 | 1 |
 Rodrigo AbolsPHI | 14 | 9:09 | 0:39 | 1:44 | 0 | 2 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 17 | 9:05 | 0:32 | 1:00 | 1 | 3 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 12 | 8:55 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 15 | 8:54 | 0:36 | 0:55 | 1 | 2 |
 Garnet HathawayPHI | 16 | 8:01 | 0:30 | 0:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersPHI | 9 | 5:03 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 1 | 2 |