Wed, Jan 14, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York
Ottawa Senators 8, New York Rangers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.
83%
NYR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.05 | 60.5% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.23 | 47.7% | +2.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.05 | 46.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:44 | 0.02 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 1.16 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.25 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.27 | 53.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.08 | 46.2% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 57.9% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.03 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.01 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 13:30 | 0.75 | 67.5% | +31.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.16 | 81.9% | +0.9 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 6 | 13:17 | 0.65 | 72.1% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.09 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.07 | 98.6% | +2.7 |
| W | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.40 | −2.6 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.13 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.12 | 64.2% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.14 | 32.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.02 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.09 | 57.5% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.01 | 63.3% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 44.1% | +0.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.32 | 73.3% | +0.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.13 | 27.1% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.09 | 63.4% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.10 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.09 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.08 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 11 | 6 | .647 | 1.96 | −4.0 | 32:23 | |
| – | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.13 | +0.1 | 26:52 |