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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 14, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 8, New York Rangers 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

8

Final

Home

New York Rangers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Cozens, saved by Quick
  3. P1 1:33Trocheck: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Miller, Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  4. P1 1:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Quick4v5
  5. P1 1:44Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Quick4v5
  6. P1 2:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Quick4v5
  7. P1 2:16Shot by Cozens, saved by Quick4v5
  8. P1 2:18Goal by Batherson (Cozens, Tkachuk)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  9. P1 2:31Shot by Morrow, saved by Meriläinen
  10. P1 3:27Shot by Kleven, saved by Quick
  11. P1 4:45Shot by Chabot, saved by Quick
  12. P1 4:53Goal by Jensen (Greig, Cozens)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Cozens, Greig

  13. P1 6:46Shot by Carrick, saved by Meriläinen
  14. P1 6:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  15. P1 7:07Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  16. P1 8:00Shot by Pinto, saved by Quick
  17. P1 8:25Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Quick
  18. P1 10:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  19. P1 13:51Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Meriläinen
  20. P1 15:01Goal by Tkachuk (Greig, Jensen)+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig

  21. P1 17:25Shot by Zub, saved by Quick
  22. P1 19:54Goal by Cozens (Greig, Tkachuk)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle, Laba · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Kleven, Zub

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 3:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Quick
  26. P2 5:02Shot by Panarin, saved by Meriläinen
  27. P2 5:03Shot by Cuylle, saved by Meriläinen
  28. P2 5:57Goal by Sanderson (Zub, Cousins)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Soucy, Brodzinski, Morrow, Othmann · OTT Perron, Eller, Cousins, Sanderson, Zub

  29. P2 9:29Shot by Miller, saved by Meriläinen
  30. P2 9:32Shot by Soucy, saved by Meriläinen
  31. P2 11:23Shot by Schneider, saved by Meriläinen
  32. P2 12:23Goal by Chabot (Cousins, Perron)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle, Othmann, Laba · OTT Perron, Eller, Jensen, Cousins, Chabot

  33. P2 13:54Shot by Zub, saved by Martin
  34. P2 17:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Martin
  35. P2 18:44Shot by Zub, saved by Martin
  36. P2 18:55Goal by Perreault (Miller, Zibanejad)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault · OTT Amadio, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  37. P2 0:00Trocheck: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Batherson, Stützle

  38. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 2:01Shot by Stützle, saved by Martin
  41. P3 2:08Shot by Zub, saved by Martin
  42. P3 2:16Shot by Pinto, saved by Martin
  43. P3 2:28Shot by Panarin, saved by Meriläinen
  44. P3 2:35Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Meriläinen
  45. P3 3:07Shot by Cousins, saved by Martin
  46. P3 3:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Martin
  47. P3 5:26Goal by Perreault (Zibanejad, Miller)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Soucy, Borgen, Perreault · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  48. P3 5:33Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  49. P3 6:12Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Meriläinen
  50. P3 8:20Goal by Perron, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Soucy, Brodzinski, Raddysh, Morrow · OTT Perron, Eller, Cousins, Spence, Kleven

  51. P3 8:55Perron: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Othmann, Laba · OTT Perron, Eller, Cousins, Spence, Kleven

  52. P3 10:17Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  53. P3 10:44Goal by Laba (Lafrenière, Morrow)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Lafrenière, Cuylle, Morrow, Laba, Perreault · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Kleven, Stützle

  54. P3 11:55Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  55. P3 12:48Shot by Stützle, saved by Martin
  56. P3 13:10Shot by Othmann, saved by Meriläinen
  57. P3 13:13Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Martin
  58. P3 15:58Goal by Lafrenière (Panarin, Soucy)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Soucy, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Batherson, Stützle

  59. P3 15:58Laba: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Soucy, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Batherson, Stützle

  60. P3 17:28Shot by Jensen, saved by Martin4v5
  61. P3 19:11Goal by Stützle (Tkachuk, Sanderson)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Perreault · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final