Thu, Jan 15, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
34%
50%
PIT winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:02 | 0.25 | 56.9% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:39 | 0.29 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.44 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:18 | 0.07 | 50.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.25 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.28 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.24 | 94.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.20 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:37 | 0.21 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.42 | 96.0% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.31 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:45 | 0.88 | 95.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.02 | 43.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 23.4% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.06 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.18 | 27.3% | +7.7 |
| – | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 1.62 | −1.4 | 22:06 | |
| L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 1.94 | −1.1 | 37:43 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:26 | 0.19 | 33.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.04 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.44 | 46.5% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.22 | 47.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.05 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.64 | 38.1% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.01 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.30 | 66.6% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.11 | 22.9% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.10 | 68.9% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.33 | 82.5% | +5.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.19 | 69.0% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 12:49 | 0.42 | 79.5% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 12:44 | 0.25 | 73.5% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.14 | 27.8% | +8.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.14 | 25.4% | +8.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 4.11 | +1.1 | 60:00 |