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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 15, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Philadelphia Flyers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Cam YorkD · #8011+1223:020.2556.9%+7.7
Jamie DrysdaleD · #9000−1422:390.2949.0%0.0
Travis SanheimD · #6000+1121:040.4469.0%0.0
Nick SeelerD · #241010318:180.0750.5%+0.1
Christian DvorakC · #22000−2317:340.2514.9%0.0
Trevor ZegrasC · #460000217:160.2871.5%0.0
Sean CouturierC · #14011+2317:090.2494.5%+0.1
Travis KonecnyRW · #11000−2017:050.2013.4%0.0
Owen TippettRW · #740000516:370.2161.9%0.0
Denver BarkeyC · #52022+2316:150.4296.0%+0.2
Nikita GrebenkinRW · #29000−2015:410.0017.3%0.0
Noah CatesLW · #270000315:330.3159.2%0.0
Matvei MichkovRW · #39101+2414:450.8895.0%+0.1
Emil AndraeD · #36000−1013:390.0057.9%0.0
Noah JuulsenD · #470110013:380.0243.1%+0.1
Carl GrundstromRW · #910110012:060.0023.4%+7.7
Garnet HathawayRW · #190000011:280.0621.1%0.0
Rodrigo AbolsC · #181010110:370.1827.3%+7.7
Samuel Ersson#33–14113.7861.62−1.422:06
Aleksei Kolosov#35L16133.8131.94−1.137:43

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580110223:260.1933.6%+12.7
Brett KulakD · #770000220:390.0429.3%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #17101−1218:590.4446.5%+12.7
Sidney CrosbyC · #87112−1318:450.2247.2%+14.2
Ryan SheaD · #5000−1018:430.0053.9%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #75000−1118:330.0574.3%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67011−1417:350.6438.1%+1.5
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000+1216:450.0160.7%0.0
Jack St. IvanyD · #3000+1016:320.0039.1%0.0
Ben KindelC · #81011−2115:450.3066.6%+12.1
Evgeni MalkinC · #71022+1115:340.1122.9%+9.5
Connor DewarC · #19101+2214:270.1068.9%+0.4
Noel AcciariC · #55011+2113:420.3382.5%+5.8
Blake LizotteC · #46101+1113:170.1969.0%+5.8
Anthony ManthaRW · #39011−2312:490.4279.5%+12.1
Justin BrazeauRW · #16101−2212:440.2573.5%+12.1
Tommy NovakC · #18022+2112:260.1427.8%+8.4
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59101+1211:190.1425.4%+8.0
Stuart Skinner#74W34313.9124.11+1.160:00