Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 15, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.

VGK winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Marner, saved by Woll
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Domi, saved by Hill
  5. P1 2:05Goal by Rielly (Nylander, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hanifin, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Lorentz

  6. P1 2:25Shot by Laughton, saved by Hill
  7. P1 4:20Shot by McCabe, saved by Hill
  8. P1 4:38Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Woll
  9. P1 5:03Goal by Nylander (Maccelli, Carlo)+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Carlo, Myers, Maccelli

  10. P1 6:22Shot by Lauzon, saved by Woll
  11. P1 6:36McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Lauzon · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher, Maccelli

  12. P1 6:57Shot by Hertl, saved by Woll5v4
  13. P1 7:30Shot by Stone, saved by Woll5v4
  14. P1 8:12Goal by Dorofeyev (Marner, Eichel)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Eichel, Marner, Dorofeyev · TOR Rielly, Roy, Myers, Matthews

  15. P1 8:51Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  16. P1 8:57Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  17. P1 9:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Hill
  18. P1 9:31Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  19. P1 9:57Goal by Matthews (McCabe, Stecher)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Lauzon · TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  20. P1 11:39Shot by Roy, saved by Hill
  21. P1 11:49Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  22. P1 12:53Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  23. P1 14:00Shot by Maccelli, saved by Hill
  24. P1 14:56Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  25. P1 17:47Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hill
  26. P1 18:07Shot by Lauzon, saved by Woll
  27. P1 18:36Shot by Eichel, saved by Woll
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:48McCabe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hanifin, Kolesar, Whitecloud, Bowman · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies

  31. P2 4:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  32. P2 5:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Woll
  33. P2 5:48Shot by Bowman, saved by Woll
  34. P2 5:51Goal by Kolesar (Bowman, Hanifin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hanifin, Kolesar, Whitecloud, Bowman · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  35. P2 6:07Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  36. P2 8:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Woll
  37. P2 9:54Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  38. P2 10:10Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  39. P2 10:15Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  40. P2 11:36Hertl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz, Stecher, Knies

  41. P2 12:18Shot by Maccelli, saved by Hill4v5
  42. P2 12:46Goal by Tavares (Maccelli, Knies)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hanifin, Eichel, Whitecloud · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies

  43. P2 13:45Shot by Theodore, saved by Woll
  44. P2 13:55Shot by Theodore, saved by Woll
  45. P2 14:08Shot by Lauzon, saved by Woll
  46. P2 14:19Shot by Stone, saved by Woll
  47. P2 17:11Shot by Marner, saved by Woll
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:12Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  51. P3 2:03Cowan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Kolesar, Korczak, Bowman · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Robertson, Cowan

  52. P3 2:10Goal by Dorofeyev (Marner, Hertl)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Eichel, Marner, Dorofeyev · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Lorentz

  53. P3 2:31Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  54. P3 4:35Shot by Holtz, saved by Woll
  55. P3 5:30Shot by Maccelli, saved by Hill
  56. P3 5:41Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  57. P3 5:48Shot by Marner, saved by Woll
  58. P3 6:08Shot by Robertson, saved by Hill
  59. P3 7:20Shot by Eichel, saved by Woll
  60. P3 8:04Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  61. P3 8:58Goal by Laughton (Knies, Lorentz)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hertl, Hutton, Marner, Korczak, Dorofeyev · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Laughton, Lorentz, Knies

  62. P3 10:09Shot by Barbashev, saved by Woll
  63. P3 10:11Shot by Barbashev, saved by Woll
  64. P3 10:14Goal by Stone (Barbashev, Eichel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Lauzon · TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  65. P3 11:24Shot by Maccelli, saved by Hill
  66. P3 18:42Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Woll6v5
  67. P3 18:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Woll6v5
  68. P3 19:31Shot by Stone, saved by Woll6v5
  69. P3 19:53Goal by Hertl (Eichel, Stone)6v5+42 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Theodore, Eichel, Marner, Dorofeyev · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, Knies

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 2:44Goal by Eichel (Stone)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Theodore, Eichel · TOR Rielly, Matthews, Cowan

  73. OT 2:44Period end3v3
  74. OT 2:44Final4v4