Thu, Jan 15, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Vegas Golden Knights 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 58% of the time.
49%
9%
9%
33%
VGK winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.42 | 41.3% | +13.3 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.04 | 44.4% | +13.3 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 | 0.05 | 44.1% | +13.3 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.04 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:41 | 0.23 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.03 | 67.5% | +31.6 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 62.4% | +12.3 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.23 | 51.4% | +14.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.16 | 55.7% | +30.1 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:48 | 0.15 | 84.4% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.13 | 59.7% | +27.8 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.01 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.35 | 97.6% | +16.1 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.29 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.04 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.03 | 97.9% | +16.1 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 2:17 | 0.09 | 96.4% | +27.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | O | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 2.71 | −3.3 | 62:44 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:38 | 0.01 | 66.6% | +15.3 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 24:35 | 0.30 | 49.1% | +120.3 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:32 | 0.05 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.56 | 49.4% | +107.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.15 | 36.8% | +29.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.26 | 32.1% | +29.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.13 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.29 | 48.0% | +15.3 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.34 | 58.5% | +58.0 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.22 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.01 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.17 | 68.5% | +15.3 |
 Ben HuttonD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.22 | 71.0% | +15.3 |
 Tanner LaczynskiC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.00 | 1.1% | 0.0 |
 Cole ReinhardtLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 Alexander HoltzRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.01 | 4.4% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | W | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.30 | −2.7 | 61:23 |