Sat, Jan 17, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 2:09Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 3:10Thompson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Benson, Metsa · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber
- P1 3:32Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 9:05Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 9:19Goal by Foligno (Tarasenko, Jones)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Power, Kozak · MIN Foligno, Tarasenko, Jones, Hughes, Faber
- P1 10:05Goal by McLeod (Quinn, Zucker)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Quinn · MIN Foligno, Hinostroza, Jones, Hughes, Faber
- P1 10:05Kesselring: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Quinn · MIN Foligno, Hinostroza, Jones, Hughes, Faber
- P1 10:05Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Quinn · MIN Foligno, Hinostroza, Jones, Hughes, Faber
- P1 10:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson4v4
- P1 11:35Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson4v4
- P1 12:11Foligno: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Dahlin, Kesselring, Byram, Quinn, Ostlund · MIN Foligno, Kaprizov, Hunt, Faber, Yurov
- P1 12:11Kesselring: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Dahlin, Kesselring, Byram, Quinn, Ostlund · MIN Foligno, Kaprizov, Hunt, Faber, Yurov
- P1 12:26Shot by Hartman, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 12:44Shot by Faber, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 15:00Shot by Doan, saved by Gustavsson
- P1 15:25Hughes: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · MIN Pitlick, Jones, Hughes, Sturm, Faber
- P1 16:26Yurov: Hooking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund · MIN Spurgeon, Jones, Hunt, Yurov
- P1 16:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson5v3
- P1 17:04Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson5v3
- P1 19:52Goal by Hartman (Hughes, Kaprizov)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Quinn, Doan, Power, Ostlund · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:08Goal by Tarasenko (Spurgeon, Yurov)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov
- P2 1:44Shot by Yurov, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 1:47Byram: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · MIN Tarasenko, Trenin, Hunt, Jiricek, Yurov
- P2 2:45Shot by Hughes, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 4:00Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:06Shot by Foligno, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:08Kesselring: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Kesselring, Quinn, Doan, Metsa · MIN Foligno, Hinostroza, Hunt, Haight, Jiricek
- P2 4:31Shot by Hughes, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 5:00Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 5:29Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 6:03Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 6:18Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 6:39Shot by Byram, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 7:00Shot by Pitlick, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 7:01Shot by Pitlick, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 9:18Shot by Hartman, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 9:20Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 10:07Goal by Krebs (Samuelsson)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Doan, Power, Ostlund · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Hartman, Middleton, Kaprizov
- P2 11:08Shot by Quinn, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 11:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 11:34Goal by Quinn (Dahlin, Zucker)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Metsa · MIN Pitlick, Jones, Hughes, Sturm, Faber
- P2 11:50Shot by Kozak, saved by Gustavsson
- P2 12:19Jiricek: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Kesselring, Byram, Kozak · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Trenin, Jiricek, Yurov
- P2 13:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P2 14:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
- P2 14:40Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 15:01Yurov: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram, Quinn · MIN Spurgeon, Tarasenko, Trenin, Hunt, Yurov
- P2 15:24Shot by Sturm, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 16:07Goal by Tuch (Thompson, McLeod)5v4+27 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin · MIN Spurgeon, Trenin, Jones, Hunt
- P2 17:04Goal by Hughes (Kaprizov, Zuccarello)+29 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram, Doan, Ostlund · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber
- P2 19:44Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:36Shot by Quinn, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 1:49Shot by Quinn, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 2:19Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:07Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:15Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:18Shot by Middleton, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 6:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 7:12Shot by Middleton, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 7:24Shot by Faber, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 7:41Shot by Hartman, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 7:56Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 9:30Shot by Benson, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 11:59Shot by Middleton, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 12:11Shot by Hughes, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 15:08Shot by McLeod, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 15:19Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 15:20Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 16:05Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 17:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Gustavsson
- P3 19:46Krebs: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Power, Ostlund · MIN Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Faber, Yurov
- P3 0:00Period end4v5
- OT 0:00Period start
- OT 1:46Goal by Zuccarello (Kaprizov, Gustavsson)3v4+49 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Power · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Faber
- OT 1:46Period end3v3
- OT 1:46Final4v4