Sat, Jan 17, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.
21%
66%
BUF winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zuccarello–Hartman–Kaprizov | Tarasenko–Trenin–Yurov | Foligno–Hinostroza–Haight | Pitlick–Jones–Sturm | Zuccarello–Kaprizov–Yurov | Hughes–Faber | Spurgeon–Middleton | Hunt–Jiricek | Middleton–Hunt | Hughes–Jiricek | Middleton–Faber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 5:250.09–0.14 | 3:460.12–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.10 | 1:070.07–0.21 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 6:410.21–0.14 | 4:150.07–0.23 | 1:200.00–0.10 | |||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 2:130.00–0.59 | 2:380.07–0.17 | 2:040.44–0.07 | 0:340.45–0.00 | 3:470.54–0.46 | 3:260.08–0.08 | 1:450.00–0.07 | ||||
| Krebs–Doan–Ostlund | 1:390.06–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 2:250.14–0.23 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 2:560.00–0.10 | 0:580.06–0.01 | 1:350.18–0.22 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | |
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | 3:170.00–0.39 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 1:410.03–0.11 | 2:150.00–0.66 | 1:310.00–0.26 | 1:280.06–0.00 | |||||
| Byram–Power | 2:340.00–0.19 | 3:120.04–0.19 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 4:460.04–0.10 | 1:080.16–0.00 | |||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:440.09–0.30 | 1:330.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 4:390.21–0.30 | 1:130.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 2:350.00–0.36 | 0:300.00–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.36 | 0:480.00–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:420.44–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.21 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:320.02–0.21 | |||||
| Kesselring–Power | 0:570.00–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 1:150.03–0.00 | 1:350.03–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.15 | |||||
| Dahlin–Metsa | 1:210.07–0.00 | 0:560.45–0.11 | 1:410.45–0.11 | 1:280.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:560.10–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:410.04–0.11 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Metsa | 1:070.00–0.26 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kesselring–Byram | 0:490.06–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 0:370.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:400.05–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.55 | 0:300.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Kesselring | 0:380.00–0.10 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.10 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Kesselring | 0:380.14–0.22 | 0:460.09–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Quinn HughesMIN | 28 | 29:52 | 1:04 | 2:44 | 6 | 2 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 32 | 28:41 | 0:54 | 2:12 | 2 | 5 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 27:10 | 0:56 | 2:50 | 5 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 28 | 26:30 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 3 | 7 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 31 | 25:36 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 3 | 6 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 22 | 25:35 | 1:10 | 1:58 | 6 | 2 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 23 | 24:28 | 1:04 | 1:58 | 5 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 22:17 | 0:58 | 2:47 | 4 | 5 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 22 | 22:10 | 1:00 | 1:46 | 6 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 21:33 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 26 | 21:17 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 18:40 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 3 | 7 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 19 | 17:49 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 4 | 4 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 21 | 16:31 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 25 | 16:30 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 1 | 8 |
 Danila YurovMIN | 21 | 16:27 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 2 | 0 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 26 | 16:16 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 4 | 0 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 19 | 16:09 | 0:51 | 2:33 | 6 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 21 | 16:03 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 3 | 5 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoMIN | 19 | 15:55 | 0:50 | 2:09 | 4 | 0 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 19 | 15:33 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 2:05 | 7 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 16 | 14:25 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 0 | 3 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaMIN | 15 | 12:28 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 0 | 0 |
 Daemon HuntMIN | 20 | 11:36 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Nico SturmMIN | 13 | 10:55 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 0 | 5 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 15 | 10:43 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 15 | 10:31 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 16 | 10:16 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 9:56 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 0 | 0 |
 David JiricekMIN | 14 | 9:12 | 0:39 | 1:40 | 1 | 1 |
 Ben JonesMIN | 12 | 8:54 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 14 | 8:32 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Hunter HaightMIN | 12 | 8:06 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 8 | 7:04 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Tyler PitlickMIN | 8 | 6:08 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |