Sat, Jan 17, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.
21%
66%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 29:52 | 0.37 | 54.0% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:41 | 0.06 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:35 | 0.62 | 87.6% | +77.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 24:28 | 0.68 | 79.4% | +94.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:10 | 0.31 | 87.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.20 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.17 | 57.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.01 | 54.2% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 15:55 | 0.80 | 73.4% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.37 | 64.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:28 | 0.49 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.01 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.03 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.00 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.05 | 59.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:06 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:08 | 0.29 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.92 | −1.1 | 61:46 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:10 | 0.39 | 48.7% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 26:30 | 0.00 | 25.8% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:36 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 22:17 | 0.65 | 31.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:33 | 0.03 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.25 | 39.7% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.36 | 55.9% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.07 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.21 | 54.5% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:03 | 0.37 | 50.7% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.08 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.16 | 54.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.14 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.03 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.07 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 4.45 | −0.6 | 61:46 |