Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
New York Islanders 2, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.
27%
8%
8%
56%
CGY winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 25:35 | 0.11 | 63.8% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.05 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.11 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.24 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.13 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.06 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.21 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.12 | 84.3% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.19 | 90.9% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:58 | 1.00 | 58.9% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.12 | 43.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.35 | 98.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.03 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:47 | 0.27 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.36 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.02 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.01 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:35 | 0.04 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.06 | −1.9 | 52:16 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:40 | 0.11 | 48.3% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.02 | 41.2% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.06 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.06 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.27 | 21.3% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.36 | 32.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.26 | 32.3% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.09 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.16 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.39 | 29.7% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 54.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.12 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.11 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.10 | 31.3% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.15 | 21.2% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.02 | 23.6% | +7.1 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.42 | +1.4 | 59:57 |