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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Winnipeg Jets

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Samberg, saved by Hildeby
  3. P1 2:06Shot by Carlo, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Koepke, saved by Hildeby
  5. P1 5:54Shot by Cowan, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Carlo, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 8:06Shot by Lowry, saved by Hildeby
  8. P1 8:07Shot by Lowry, saved by Hildeby
  9. P1 8:53Shot by Cowan, saved by Hellebuyck
  10. P1 9:23Shot by Barron, saved by Hildeby
  11. P1 13:09Shot by Pearson, saved by Hildeby
  12. P1 14:39Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  13. P1 14:41Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 15:19Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hellebuyck
  15. P1 15:34Shot by Schenn, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 18:01Shot by Iafallo, saved by Hildeby
  17. P1 19:39Shot by Stecher, saved by Hellebuyck
  18. P1 19:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:22Carlo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Toews, DeMelo, Morrissey, Vilardi, Perfetti · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz

  22. P2 2:23Goal by Iafallo (Stanley, Namestnikov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Namestnikov, Stanley, Iafallo, Perfetti · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Myers

  23. P2 3:15Shot by Stecher, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P2 6:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P2 6:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P2 6:53Robertson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Stanley, Vilardi, Barron, Perfetti · TOR McCabe, Roy, Stecher, Robertson, Maccelli

  27. P2 6:58Shot by Toews, saved by Hildeby5v4
  28. P2 6:59Shot by Toews, saved by Hildeby5v4
  29. P2 7:11Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  30. P2 7:12Shot by Carlo, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  31. P2 7:30Shot by Morrissey, saved by Hildeby5v4
  32. P2 8:32Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  33. P2 8:59Goal by Connor (Vilardi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi · TOR McCabe, Matthews, Stecher, Robertson, Knies

  34. P2 9:22Goal by Matthews (Domi, Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Lowry, Pearson, Samberg, Barron, Salomonsson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  35. P2 9:55Toews: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Toews, Schenn, Vilardi, Samberg, Perfetti · TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Maccelli, Knies

  36. P2 12:13Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  37. P2 12:57Shot by Stecher, saved by Hellebuyck
  38. P2 14:06Shot by Knies, saved by Hellebuyck
  39. P2 14:52Iafallo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Iafallo · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Stecher, Maccelli, Knies

  40. P2 15:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  41. P2 19:42Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Hildeby
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:42Shot by McMann, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P3 1:54Shot by Myers, saved by Hellebuyck
  46. P3 2:04Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck
  47. P3 2:15Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Hildeby
  48. P3 2:26Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hildeby
  49. P3 2:28Goal by Niederreiter (Namestnikov, Schenn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Stanley · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Myers, Maccelli, Knies

  50. P3 3:43Shot by McCabe, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 3:55Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  52. P3 4:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hildeby
  53. P3 5:38Shot by Barron, saved by Hildeby
  54. P3 5:58Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Robertson, Cowan)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Pearson, Stanley, Barron, Koepke · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Carlo, Roy, Robertson, Cowan

  55. P3 6:12Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  56. P3 6:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Hellebuyck
  57. P3 8:01Shot by Iafallo, saved by Hildeby
  58. P3 8:21Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby
  59. P3 10:02Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  60. P3 11:56Shot by Roy, saved by Hellebuyck
  61. P3 13:46Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P3 15:26Shot by Stecher, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 15:33Goal by McMann (Ekman-Larsson, Rielly)+44 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Samberg, Salomonsson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  64. P3 16:01Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Hildeby
  65. P3 16:08Shot by Iafallo, saved by Hildeby
  66. P3 16:47Knies: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi, Samberg, Salomonsson · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Maccelli, Knies

  67. P3 17:22Shot by Toews, saved by Hildeby5v4
  68. P3 17:58Shot by Connor, saved by Hildeby5v4
  69. P3 18:08Shot by Scheifele, saved by Hildeby5v4
  70. P3 18:10Shot by Vilardi, saved by Hildeby5v4
  71. P3 18:41Shot by Carlo, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  72. P3 19:44Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  73. P3 19:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  74. P3 19:50Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. OT 0:00Period start
  77. OT 0:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  78. OT 1:07Shot by Maccelli, saved by Hellebuyck3v3
  79. OT 3:08Goal by Domi (Matthews, Ekman-Larsson)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews

  80. OT 3:08Period end3v4
  81. OT 3:08Final4v4