Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.
53%
32%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:30 | 0.09 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 1 | 25:10 | 0.08 | 60.2% | +105.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:43 | 0.13 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.71 | 51.1% | +62.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.09 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 19:14 | 0.64 | 47.6% | +62.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.09 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.02 | 42.2% | +57.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:39 | 0.26 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.21 | 53.8% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.29 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.16 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.21 | 63.5% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:18 | 0.28 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.22 | 59.6% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.02 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 4.25 | +1.3 | 63:08 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:57 | 0.03 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.29 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:44 | 0.47 | 75.2% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.50 | 16.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.06 | 52.3% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:36 | 0.35 | 76.2% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.67 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.02 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.15 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.22 | 81.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:29 | 1.05 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.13 | 75.4% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 54.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.15 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.11 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.04 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.52 | −0.5 | 63:08 |