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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22000−1125:300.0950.7%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95123+4125:100.0860.2%+105.2
Troy StecherD · #28000−1421:430.1355.3%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+2521:380.7151.1%+62.6
John TavaresC · #91000−1119:400.0953.1%0.0
Max DomiC · #11112+3519:140.6447.6%+62.6
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2118:580.0937.1%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440220118:550.0242.2%+57.1
Brandon CarloD · #250000418:390.2642.7%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74101+2216:510.2153.8%+43.6
Matias MaccelliLW · #63000−1116:090.2951.1%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #550000113:210.1668.7%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #240000013:110.0031.8%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890110212:270.2163.5%+12.5
Steven LorentzC · #180000411:180.2827.1%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #53011+1210:530.2259.6%+12.5
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000−1110:290.0248.3%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #51000−219:180.0248.9%0.0
Dennis Hildeby#35W30273.9004.25+1.363:08

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Josh MorrisseyD · #440000125:570.0361.1%0.0
Mark ScheifeleC · #550000222:270.2976.9%0.0
Dylan DeMeloD · #2000+1021:450.0051.1%0.0
Kyle ConnorLW · #811010521:440.4775.2%+13.8
Dylan SambergD · #54000−2121:350.0043.6%0.0
Gabriel VilardiC · #13011+1120:490.5016.4%+13.8
Logan StanleyD · #64011+1017:370.0652.3%+21.1
Alex IafalloLW · #9101+1417:360.3576.2%+21.1
Jonathan ToewsC · #190000317:350.6715.6%0.0
Elias SalomonssonD · #57000−2117:160.0228.3%0.0
Cole PerfettiC · #91000+1017:060.1513.5%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #62101+1314:320.2281.8%+13.5
Adam LowryC · #17000−1214:291.0565.9%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #7022+1213:330.1375.4%+34.6
Luke SchennD · #50110113:270.0054.9%+13.5
Morgan BarronC · #36000−2210:590.1516.6%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000−218:550.1135.6%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000−118:020.0429.4%0.0
Connor Hellebuyck#37O37334.8923.52−0.563:08