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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–McMannTavares–Maccelli–KniesRoy–Robertson–CowanJarnkrok–Laughton–LorentzTavares–Domi–McMannTavares–Matthews–KniesDomi–Matthews–KniesMatthews–McMann–KniesMcCabe–StecherEkman-Larsson–CarloRielly–CarloEkman-Larsson–MyersEkman-Larsson–McCabeEkman-Larsson–RiellyRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–StecherMcCabe–CarloRielly–Stecher
Scheifele–Connor–Iafallo3:280.10–0.003:140.18–0.033:090.08–0.074:440.04–0.042:020.00–0.061:080.06–0.022:120.16–0.000:370.12–0.001:190.12–0.00
Toews–Vilardi–Perfetti2:060.00–0.243:330.00–0.301:520.00–0.002:300.00–0.024:120.00–0.041:260.00–0.212:200.00–0.071:280.00–0.000:360.00–0.180:320.00–0.00
Niederreiter–Lowry–Namestnikov4:300.39–0.141:210.32–0.000:400.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:430.14–0.001:450.37–0.001:080.00–0.001:250.08–0.060:300.00–0.08
Pearson–Barron–Koepke1:050.00–0.093:210.12–0.201:150.06–0.260:530.06–0.100:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.050:390.00–0.01
Vilardi–Barron–Perfetti0:580.00–0.220:330.00–0.11
Scheifele–Namestnikov–Connor0:310.00–0.19
DeMelo–Morrissey1:460.00–0.006:520.26–0.091:360.00–0.053:040.00–0.020:360.00–0.194:540.31–0.212:310.16–0.002:480.06–0.021:050.09–0.051:000.09–0.000:340.08–0.000:370.00–0.041:010.00–0.010:340.04–0.00
Samberg–Salomonsson8:230.13–0.511:430.14–0.031:230.08–0.060:450.00–0.003:520.02–0.031:500.01–0.061:140.02–0.051:310.00–0.001:110.01–0.091:590.00–0.330:410.08–0.000:540.08–0.08
Schenn–Stanley1:090.37–0.000:490.21–0.005:160.06–0.371:220.00–0.001:540.00–0.262:060.06–0.211:570.37–0.021:320.00–0.000:390.09–0.000:310.00–0.000:510.21–0.110:340.00–0.00
Morrissey–Salomonsson0:350.00–0.010:370.00–0.071:040.04–0.010:450.00–0.07
DeMelo–Samberg0:490.06–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley0:450.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndVilardi FToews FPerfetti FNamestnikov FLowry FNiederreiter FIafallo FScheifele FConnor FBarron FKoepke FPearson FDeMelo DMorrissey DSamberg DSalomonsson DStanley DSchenn DHellebuyck GLorentz FJarnkrok FLaughton FMatthews FDomi FMcMann FTavares FKnies FMaccelli FRoy FRobertson FCowan FCarlo DRielly DStecher DMcCabe DMyers DEkman-Larsson DHildeby G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG3225:570:491:4773
Jake McCabeTOR4125:300:371:5337
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3825:100:401:5143
Mark ScheifeleWPG2322:270:592:3172
Dylan DeMeloWPG3021:450:441:3055
Kyle ConnorWPG2321:440:572:3271
Troy StecherTOR3521:430:371:0415
Auston MatthewsTOR2721:380:481:5773
Dylan SambergWPG2921:350:451:4517
Gabriel VilardiWPG2020:491:022:4121
John TavaresTOR2119:400:562:2433
Max DomiTOR2519:140:461:1921
Matthew KniesTOR2018:580:572:4432
Morgan RiellyTOR2918:550:391:3450
Brandon CarloTOR3218:390:351:1103
Logan StanleyWPG2117:370:501:1531
Alex IafalloWPG2117:360:501:3360
Jonathan ToewsWPG2317:350:461:3442
Elias SalomonssonWPG2417:160:432:1013
Cole PerfettiWPG2017:060:512:0230
Bobby McMannTOR2116:510:481:2332
Matias MaccelliTOR1916:090:512:4420
Nino NiederreiterWPG1914:320:461:1325
Adam LowryWPG2314:290:381:0507
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1913:330:431:0326
Luke SchennWPG2013:270:401:1921
Nicolas RoyTOR1713:210:471:1902
Scott LaughtonTOR2413:110:330:5808
Nick RobertsonTOR1612:270:471:2011
Steven LorentzTOR1911:180:360:5604
Morgan BarronWPG1910:590:351:0905
Easton CowanTOR1410:530:471:3020
Calle JarnkrokTOR1810:290:350:5202
Philippe MyersTOR139:180:431:1303
Tanner PearsonWPG168:550:330:5904
Cole KoepkeWPG158:020:320:4705