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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 18, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

DAL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:57Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 4:00Goal by Bäck (Lundkvist, Bourque)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Bäck, Lundkvist, Harley, Bourque, Hryckowian · TBL Kucherov, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser

  4. P1 5:24Cernak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Blackwell, Faksa, Capobianco, Lyubushkin · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak, D'Astous, Holmberg

  5. P1 5:24Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 6:12Shot by Gourde, saved by Oettinger5v4
  7. P1 8:04Goal by James (Guentzel, D'Astous)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Blackwell, Faksa, Lindell, Bäck, Lundkvist · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, D'Astous, James

  8. P1 9:28Shot by Gourde, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 11:38Shot by Cernak, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 13:46Shot by Hintz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 15:47Shot by Hagel, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 17:27Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 18:02Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 18:03Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 18:04Carlile: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Bäck, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque, Hryckowian · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile

  16. P1 18:04Hryckowian: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Bäck, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque, Hryckowian · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier, Carlile

  17. P1 18:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  18. P1 19:18Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:35Shot by Cirelli, saved by Oettinger
  22. P2 4:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 5:11Shot by Lindell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 6:06Shot by Hagel, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 6:16Robertson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Rantanen, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Carlile

  26. P2 7:25Shot by Raddysh, saved by Oettinger4v5
  27. P2 7:53Shot by Raddysh, saved by Oettinger4v5
  28. P2 9:05Shot by Cernak, saved by Oettinger
  29. P2 10:16Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 10:19Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 10:37Shot by Cirelli, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 10:49Shot by Steel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 11:04Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Raddysh)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Lindell, Rantanen, Steel, Heiskanen, Johnston · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  34. P2 11:56Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 13:45Shot by Guentzel, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 13:46Shot by Guentzel, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 13:47Shot by D'Astous, saved by Oettinger
  38. P2 13:48Shot by D'Astous, saved by Oettinger
  39. P2 14:20Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Steel, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston · TBL Guentzel, Cernak, D'Astous, Goncalves, James

  40. P2 14:33Shot by Hintz, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 14:46Shot by Johnston, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 14:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 17:25Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 18:26Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 18:47Shot by James, saved by Oettinger
  46. P2 18:50Goal by Guentzel (James, Bjorkstrand)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Capobianco, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · TBL Guentzel, Crozier, Goncalves, Carlile, James

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:29Shot by Raddysh, saved by Oettinger
  50. P3 1:54Shot by Bourque, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 4:27Shot by Holmberg, saved by Oettinger
  52. P3 7:26Blackwell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Blackwell, Faksa, Lindell, Lundkvist · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser, James

  53. P3 9:10Shot by Faksa, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  54. P3 10:51Shot by D'Astous, saved by Oettinger
  55. P3 13:42Shot by Raddysh, saved by Oettinger
  56. P3 14:09Shot by Cirelli, saved by Oettinger
  57. P3 17:59Goal by Holmberg (Gourde, Moser)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final