Sun, Jan 18, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
16%
72%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:27 | 0.16 | – | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:20 | 0.55 | – | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | – | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.58 | – | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.57 | – | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.14 | – | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.72 | – | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.30 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.52 | – | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.23 | – | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.32 | – | +31.2 |
| W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 2.47 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 23:48 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.32 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.29 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.38 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.36 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.07 | – | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.09 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.10 | – | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:15 | 0.36 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.29 | – | +12.8 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.24 | +0.2 | 58:16 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.