Sun, Jan 18, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Dallas Stars 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
16%
72%
DAL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Bjorkstrand–Paul–Finley | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Guentzel–Goncalves–James | Guentzel–Paul–Goncalves | Cernak–D'Astous | Raddysh–Moser | Crozier–Carlile | D'Astous–Crozier | Raddysh–D'Astous | Cernak–Moser | Crozier–Moser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duchene–Hintz–Robertson | 5:090.07–0.10 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 3:250.07–0.03 | 2:240.00–0.07 | 2:100.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.08–0.00 | |||
| Rantanen–Steel–Johnston | 2:230.11–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:390.07–0.40 | 1:090.03–0.06 | 2:020.00–0.05 | 5:040.40–0.47 | ||||||
| Benn–Blackwell–Faksa | 2:400.00–0.00 | 2:290.00–0.58 | 3:440.07–0.58 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||
| Bäck–Bourque–Hryckowian | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:530.01–0.12 | 1:380.40–0.13 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:060.36–0.00 | 4:210.41–0.28 | |||||
| Benn–Rantanen–Johnston | 1:210.01–0.10 | 0:400.01–0.10 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston | 0:510.08–0.00 | 1:170.08–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Duchene–Hintz–Steel | 0:430.00–0.16 | 0:420.00–0.16 | ||||||||||
| Steel–Bourque–Hryckowian | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Blackwell–Faksa–Bäck | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Lindell–Heiskanen | 1:350.07–0.00 | 5:140.07–0.70 | 1:340.00–0.13 | 3:040.07–0.16 | 5:000.07–0.40 | 1:130.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Lundkvist–Harley | 2:500.00–0.08 | 2:360.00–0.12 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 3:470.00–0.00 | 1:530.36–0.08 | 3:040.00–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||
| Capobianco–Lyubushkin | 1:270.07–0.00 | 2:020.02–0.00 | 0:400.10–0.13 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 1:280.07–0.00 | 2:440.11–0.13 | 1:100.01–0.00 | |||||
| Lyubushkin–Harley | 0:390.18–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:150.03–0.58 | 0:470.00–0.08 | 2:040.01–0.61 | 0:550.33–0.00 | 0:300.30–0.08 | 0:320.07–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||
| Lindell–Lundkvist | 0:510.00–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Capobianco–Lundkvist | 0:380.00–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 1:250.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Heiskanen–Harley | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Lindell–Lyubushkin | 0:580.00–0.10 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Capobianco–Heiskanen | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:550.08–0.00 | 1:260.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Lindell–Harley | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 24 | 24:22 | 1:01 | 2:27 | 7 | 4 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 23 | 23:25 | 1:01 | 2:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 19 | 23:17 | 1:14 | 3:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 22 | 22:27 | 1:01 | 1:55 | 2 | 4 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 25 | 22:20 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 23 | 21:24 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 3 | 6 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 22 | 20:16 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 19 | 19:57 | 1:03 | 1:55 | 5 | 2 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 20 | 18:46 | 0:56 | 2:12 | 6 | 0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 6 | 0 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 19 | 18:13 | 0:58 | 1:52 | 4 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 18:03 | 0:52 | 2:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 18 | 17:57 | 1:00 | 1:55 | 5 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 18 | 17:56 | 1:00 | 2:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 21 | 17:26 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 20 | 17:00 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 16:57 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 16:51 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 16:48 | 0:53 | 2:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 20 | 14:43 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 17 | 14:39 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 15 | 14:19 | 0:57 | 1:52 | 6 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 20 | 14:12 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 0 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 17 | 13:20 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 0 | 4 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 17 | 13:06 | 0:46 | 2:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle CapobiancoDAL | 18 | 12:23 | 0:41 | 2:01 | 1 | 3 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 16 | 11:57 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 17 | 11:43 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 15 | 11:34 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 15 | 11:20 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 16 | 11:15 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 15 | 11:14 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 17 | 10:52 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |